Riot Platforms, Inc.

DB:AP4N Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.7b

Riot Platforms Valuation

Is AP4N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AP4N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AP4N (€11.09) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€5.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AP4N is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AP4N?

Key metric: As AP4N is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AP4N. This is calculated by dividing AP4N's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AP4N's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio12.3x
SalesUS$312.91m
Market CapUS$3.84b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AP4N's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AP4N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.8x
NB2 Northern Data
34.8x31.5%€2.7b
AOF ATOSS Software
10.4x12.7%€1.7b
TMV TeamViewer
2.1x7.5%€1.4b
NEM Nemetschek
11.7x14.1%€10.8b
AP4N Riot Platforms
12.3x40.4%€3.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AP4N is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.3x) compared to the peer average (14.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AP4N's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Software Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CSH CENIT
0.3x5.2%US$64.17m
CLIQ Cliq Digital
0.1x13.2%US$32.55m
LSX LS telcom
0.4x5.0%US$16.92m
8DQ GetSwift Technologies
0.07xn/aUS$2.53m
AP4N 12.3xIndustry Avg. 2.1xNo. of Companies6PS02.44.87.29.612+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AP4N is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.3x) compared to the German Software industry average (2.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AP4N's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AP4N PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio12.3x
Fair PS Ratio8.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AP4N is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AP4N forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€11.09
€17.27
+55.7%
21.5%€24.12€10.61n/a15
Dec ’25€12.00
€16.05
+33.7%
24.3%€23.05€9.12n/a14
Nov ’25€8.60
€14.92
+73.5%
29.5%€22.07€7.56n/a14
Oct ’25€6.43
€14.95
+132.7%
27.9%€19.87€7.43n/a14
Sep ’25€7.05
€15.34
+117.6%
25.2%€20.55€8.49n/a13
Aug ’25€8.90
€16.18
+81.9%
22.3%€21.31€10.19n/a13
Jul ’25€9.39
€16.53
+76.0%
20.8%€21.37€11.15n/a12
Jun ’25€8.89
€16.44
+84.9%
17.2%€20.28€11.98n/a12
May ’25€9.60
€18.20
+89.6%
19.2%€24.32€12.63n/a12
Apr ’25€11.79
€18.27
+55.0%
20.4%€24.21€10.24n/a12
Mar ’25€13.25
€18.10
+36.6%
21.5%€23.99€10.15n/a11
Feb ’25€10.44
€17.19
+64.7%
24.0%€23.87€10.10n/a11
Jan ’25€16.35
€16.64
+1.8%
21.6%€20.90€10.22n/a11
Dec ’24€12.50
€14.89
+19.1%
23.9%€20.23€7.36€12.0011
Nov ’24€9.64
€16.30
+69.2%
23.4%€21.63€7.10€8.6011
Oct ’24€9.24
€18.63
+101.6%
11.5%€21.50€14.96€6.439
Sep ’24€10.29
€18.41
+78.9%
9.8%€21.01€16.44€7.059
Aug ’24€16.18
€14.88
-8.0%
26.5%€21.56€10.78€8.908
Jul ’24€10.64
€11.80
+11.0%
9.9%€14.60€10.95€9.398
Jun ’24€11.18
€11.08
-0.9%
20.5%€14.71€5.52€8.899
May ’24€10.73
€10.71
-0.2%
25.0%€15.50€5.47€9.609
Apr ’24€8.80
€8.58
-2.5%
21.6%€11.06€4.61€11.799
Mar ’24€6.10
€9.20
+50.9%
19.3%€11.27€4.70€13.2510
Feb ’24€5.79
€9.20
+58.8%
21.1%€11.96€4.60€10.449
Jan ’24€3.13
€9.88
+216.0%
21.3%€14.12€5.65€16.359
Dec ’23€4.41
€10.52
+138.6%
20.9%€14.42€5.77€12.509

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 03:32
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Riot Platforms, Inc. is covered by 27 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Raghuram SelvarajuAegis Capital Corporation
Martin TonerATB Capital Markets
Lucas PipesB. Riley Securities, Inc.