Palo Alto Networks Valuation

Is 5AP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5AP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5AP (€315.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€334.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5AP is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5AP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

5AP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue14x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA101.6x
PEG Ratio-2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5AP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5AP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average47.9x
SAP SAP
85.1x33.8%€219.1b
IXX init innovation in traffic systems
20.1x18.0%€386.7m
NEM Nemetschek
65.6x16.3%€11.0b
IVU IVU Traffic Technologies
20.9xn/a€242.7m
5AP Palo Alto Networks
45.3x-18.0%€110.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5AP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.3x) compared to the peer average (47.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5AP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a33.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a33.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5AP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.3x) compared to the European Software industry average (34x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5AP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5AP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio45.3x
Fair PE Ratio23.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5AP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5AP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€315.10
€320.43
+1.7%
7.9%€359.40€256.71n/a48
Jun ’25€270.75
€314.10
+16.0%
8.0%€356.47€254.62n/a48
May ’25€272.75
€315.73
+15.8%
9.5%€382.38€248.97n/a47
Apr ’25€261.90
€309.47
+18.2%
9.8%€374.60€243.91n/a46
Mar ’25€278.80
€310.80
+11.5%
9.9%€376.56€245.18n/a45
Feb ’25€312.15
€304.26
-2.5%
14.1%€374.83€223.05n/a45
Jan ’25€268.25
€268.98
+0.3%
13.2%€362.32€172.10n/a44
Dec ’24€271.90
€256.58
-5.6%
8.7%€311.71€174.19n/a43
Nov ’24€230.65
€263.60
+14.3%
8.9%€321.71€179.78n/a43
Oct ’24€221.25
€260.71
+17.8%
8.3%€321.91€179.89n/a42
Sep ’24€225.35
€251.35
+11.5%
8.3%€311.34€173.98n/a41
Aug ’24€230.15
€228.01
-0.9%
11.2%€277.77€162.86n/a41
Jul ’24€234.20
€225.00
-3.9%
9.5%€277.87€165.62€317.0041
Jun ’24€201.45
€219.64
+9.0%
8.1%€257.32€168.43€270.7541
May ’24€164.52
€202.31
+23.0%
10.1%€250.66€127.61€272.7542
Apr ’24€183.10
€206.56
+12.8%
10.1%€257.87€131.28€261.9042
Mar ’24€175.02
€205.35
+17.3%
9.5%€239.16€131.31€278.8041
Feb ’24€145.10
€186.50
+28.5%
11.8%€227.58€127.44€312.1542
Jan ’24€132.40
€201.66
+52.3%
10.1%€252.48€131.89€268.2541
Dec ’23€168.48
€209.19
+24.2%
9.6%€259.61€135.62€271.9041
Nov ’23€171.52
€222.08
+29.5%
9.2%€277.34€167.01€230.6539
Oct ’23€167.10
€227.25
+36.0%
9.5%€284.69€171.44€221.2537
Sep ’23€182.07
€220.01
+20.8%
8.4%€275.07€183.83€225.3535
Aug ’23€165.03
€205.71
+24.7%
9.3%€268.57€166.43€230.1534
Jul ’23€162.23
€199.79
+23.2%
9.0%€261.85€162.27€234.2035

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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