Upland Software Valuation

Is 16U undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 16U when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 16U (€2.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€10.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 16U is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 16U?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

16U key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 16U's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 16U vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.4x
ESY Easy Software
1.9xn/a€94.7m
BSS Beta Systems Software
1.7x9.1%€120.5m
CSH CENIT
0.5x7.1%€97.1m
SJJ Serviceware
1.4x8.3%€135.5m
16U Upland Software
0.2x-4.0%€69.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 16U is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 16U's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a36.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a36.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 16U is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the German Software industry average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 16U's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

16U PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 16U is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 16U forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.28
€2.82
+23.8%
45.1%€4.58€1.60n/a3
Sep ’25€1.91
€2.82
+47.7%
45.1%€4.58€1.60n/a3
Aug ’25€2.12
€3.10
+46.2%
35.4%€4.65€2.32n/a3
Jul ’25€2.30
€3.10
+34.7%
35.4%€4.65€2.32n/a3
Jun ’25€2.68
€3.10
+15.6%
35.4%€4.65€2.32n/a3
May ’25€2.10
€4.31
+105.4%
36.4%€6.47€2.77n/a3
Apr ’25€2.80
€4.31
+54.0%
36.4%€6.47€2.77n/a3
Mar ’25€2.70
€4.31
+59.7%
36.4%€6.47€2.77n/a3
Feb ’25€3.82
€4.52
+18.4%
32.0%€6.55€3.28n/a3
Jan ’25€3.86
€4.52
+17.2%
32.0%€6.55€3.28n/a3
Dec ’24€4.58
€4.52
-1.2%
32.0%€6.55€3.28n/a3
Nov ’24€3.08
€4.62
+49.9%
32.0%€6.69€3.34n/a3
Oct ’24€4.08
€4.33
+6.1%
30.0%€6.55€3.28n/a4
Sep ’24€3.22
€4.18
+29.8%
27.0%€6.36€3.18€1.915
Aug ’24€3.54
€4.18
+18.1%
27.0%€6.36€3.18€2.125
Jul ’24€3.28
€4.18
+27.5%
27.0%€6.36€3.18€2.305
Jun ’24€2.58
€4.18
+62.1%
27.0%€6.36€3.18€2.685
May ’24€3.08
€7.96
+158.5%
5.8%€8.53€7.58€2.105
Apr ’24€3.75
€7.96
+112.2%
5.8%€8.53€7.58€2.805
Mar ’24€5.31
€7.96
+49.8%
5.8%€8.53€7.58€2.705
Feb ’24€7.86
€12.05
+53.2%
44.6%€23.17€7.41€3.826
Jan ’24€6.46
€12.41
+92.0%
42.8%€24.41€7.81€3.867
Dec ’23€7.08
€12.41
+75.4%
42.8%€24.41€7.81€4.587
Nov ’23€7.96
€18.15
+127.9%
21.2%€24.98€12.99€3.086
Oct ’23€8.32
€18.15
+118.1%
21.2%€24.98€12.99€4.086
Sep ’23€9.88
€17.01
+72.0%
22.9%€24.39€12.68€3.227

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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