Alithya Group Inc.

DB:0QZ Stock Report

Market Cap: €110.6m

Alithya Group Valuation

Is 0QZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0QZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0QZ (€1.14) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0QZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0QZ?

Key metric: As 0QZ is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0QZ. This is calculated by dividing 0QZ's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0QZ's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesCA$473.43m
Market CapCA$161.00m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0QZ's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0QZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
AEIN Allgeier
0.4x2.9%€176.1m
3ITN audius
0.8x7.6%€62.0m
OBS ORBIS
0.4x4.0%€56.3m
NVQ Novabase S.G.P.S
1.5xn/a€203.6m
0QZ Alithya Group
0.3x2.8%€161.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0QZ is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0QZ's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE IT Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ASKN asknet Solutions
0.01x20.1%US$984.32k
No more companies available in this PS range
0QZ 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies6PS00.61.21.82.43+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0QZ is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the German IT industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0QZ's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0QZ PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0QZ is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0QZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.14
€1.91
+67.3%
16.1%€2.36€1.35n/a7
Nov ’25€1.20
€2.04
+69.8%
12.9%€2.32€1.66n/a7
Oct ’25€1.14
€2.04
+78.7%
12.9%€2.32€1.66n/a7
Sep ’25€1.21
€2.04
+68.4%
12.9%€2.32€1.66n/a7
Aug ’25€1.17
€2.06
+75.7%
12.9%€2.34€1.67n/a7
Jul ’25€1.43
€2.10
+46.6%
12.9%€2.39€1.71n/a7
Jun ’25€1.39
€1.95
+40.3%
17.5%€2.39€1.37n/a7
May ’25€1.44
€1.95
+35.4%
17.5%€2.39€1.37n/a7
Apr ’25€1.36
€1.95
+43.3%
17.5%€2.39€1.37n/a7
Mar ’25€1.30
€1.95
+50.0%
17.5%€2.39€1.37n/a7
Feb ’25€1.08
€1.78
+64.9%
16.8%€2.34€1.34n/a6
Jan ’25€1.18
€1.78
+50.9%
16.8%€2.34€1.34n/a6
Dec ’24€1.06
€1.78
+68.0%
16.8%€2.34€1.34n/a6
Nov ’24€1.28
€2.30
+79.7%
9.6%€2.57€1.88€1.206
Oct ’24€1.45
€2.32
+60.3%
8.6%€2.56€1.88€1.147
Sep ’24€1.61
€2.30
+42.8%
9.2%€2.55€1.87€1.216
Aug ’24€1.70
€2.51
+47.5%
7.1%€2.75€2.23€1.176
Jul ’24€1.49
€2.54
+70.1%
7.1%€2.78€2.26€1.436
Jun ’24€1.57
€2.44
+55.2%
7.9%€2.85€2.18€1.398
May ’24€1.62
€2.44
+50.4%
7.9%€2.85€2.18€1.448
Apr ’24€1.85
€2.57
+39.0%
9.0%€2.95€2.26€1.369
Mar ’24€1.68
€2.57
+53.0%
9.0%€2.95€2.26€1.309
Feb ’24€1.61
€2.49
+54.4%
12.5%€2.94€2.08€1.088
Jan ’24€1.39
€2.49
+78.8%
12.5%€2.94€2.08€1.188
Dec ’23€1.65
€2.68
+62.3%
11.3%€3.09€2.18€1.067
Nov ’23€1.73
€2.79
+61.4%
10.2%€3.32€2.40€1.287

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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