Oracle Corporation

XTRA:ORC Stock Report

Market Cap: €380.1b

Oracle Valuation

Is ORC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of ORC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: ORC (€129.22) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (€151.21)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: ORC is trading below future cash flow value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORC?

Key metric: As ORC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ORC. This is calculated by dividing ORC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ORC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.3x
EarningsUS$15.43b
Market CapUS$451.69b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ORC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ORC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.5x
SAP SAP
27x13.38%€196.8b
IVU IVU Traffic Technologies
22.8x9.36%€335.9m
IXX init innovation in traffic systems
26.5x29.56%€453.8m
NEM Nemetschek
37.6x17.60%€7.8b
ORC Oracle
29.3x22.47%€451.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ORC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.3x) compared to the peer average (28.5x).


Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ORC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ORC 29.3xIndustry Avg. 23.3xNo. of Companies22PE020406080100+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ORC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.3x) compared to the European Software industry average (23.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.3x
Fair PE Ratio53.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ORC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (53.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ORC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€129.22
€229.36
+77.50%
23.49%€336.20€130.28n/a37
Feb ’27€140.70
€242.29
+72.20%
21.77%€337.28€130.70n/a38
Jan ’27€166.26
€250.07
+50.41%
19.95%€340.56€149.12n/a38
Dec ’26€174.44
€296.04
+69.71%
18.62%€371.91€151.48n/a37
Nov ’26€225.30
€295.15
+31.00%
17.54%€368.90€150.26n/a38
Oct ’26€244.10
€281.83
+15.46%
15.66%€340.72€149.19n/a35
Sep ’26€192.30
€211.27
+9.87%
17.38%€279.05€150.26n/a34
Aug ’26€212.75
€201.23
-5.41%
15.63%€268.19€149.00n/a35
Jul ’26€185.58
€183.73
-0.99%
10.71%€212.05€144.19n/a35
Jun ’26€143.90
€157.15
+9.21%
14.79%€217.05€114.70n/a34
May ’26€122.66
€156.41
+27.51%
14.79%€216.01€114.15n/a34
Apr ’26€131.16
€171.13
+30.48%
12.77%€227.38€124.78n/a34
Mar ’26€157.10
€185.25
+17.92%
12.35%€215.85€123.62n/a32
Feb ’26€165.92
€187.27
+12.87%
12.13%€217.60€124.62€140.7032
Jan ’26€160.08
€189.57
+18.42%
10.48%€212.19€135.03€166.2630
Dec ’25€175.90
€174.79
-0.63%
12.33%€203.90€133.39€174.4429
Nov ’25€158.34
€165.61
+4.59%
14.90%€198.25€100.05€225.3030
Oct ’25€150.72
€158.39
+5.09%
15.28%€188.60€96.99€244.1028
Sep ’25€126.84
€134.46
+6.01%
13.55%€158.01€88.48€192.3027
Aug ’25€128.90
€136.80
+6.13%
13.55%€160.76€90.02€212.7527
Jul ’25€133.32
€138.40
+3.81%
13.96%€163.85€91.76€185.5827
Jun ’25€106.24
€126.47
+19.04%
13.00%€147.47€77.42€143.9028
May ’25€107.00
€128.06
+19.68%
12.80%€149.50€78.49€122.6629
Apr ’25€116.28
€126.54
+8.82%
12.80%€147.73€77.56€131.1629
Mar ’25€104.28
€114.60
+9.90%
12.47%€138.30€77.45€157.1030
Feb ’25€105.62
€114.34
+8.26%
12.54%€138.03€76.38€165.9230
€224.38
Fair Value
42.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
37
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/12 18:36
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/12 00:00
Earnings2025/11/30
Annual Earnings2025/05/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Oracle Corporation is covered by 80 analysts. 42 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Adam ShepherdArete Research Services LLP
Joseph BonnerArgus Research Company
Robert OliverBaird