Stock Analysis

NorCom Information Technology GmbH & Co. KGaA's (ETR:NC5A) Business Is Trailing The Industry But Its Shares Aren't

XTRA:NC5A
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There wouldn't be many who think NorCom Information Technology GmbH & Co. KGaA's (ETR:NC5A) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the IT industry in Germany is similar at about 0.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for NorCom Information Technology GmbH KGaA

ps-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:NC5A Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

What Does NorCom Information Technology GmbH KGaA's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that NorCom Information Technology GmbH KGaA's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for NorCom Information Technology GmbH KGaA, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like NorCom Information Technology GmbH KGaA's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.6% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 13% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.8% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that NorCom Information Technology GmbH KGaA's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that NorCom Information Technology GmbH KGaA currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for NorCom Information Technology GmbH KGaA you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether NorCom Information Technology GmbH KGaA is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.