Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for XTRA:N4G using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method.
We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
XTRA:N4G DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Amount off the current price
is available for.
Share price is
vs Future cash flow value of
Current Discount Checks
to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the
current price. Less than 40% is even better.
NAGA Group's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
NAGA Group's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
NAGA Group's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
NAGA Group's earnings are expected to decrease over the next 1-3 years, this is not considered high growth.
NAGA Group's revenue is expected to grow by 9.7% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
NAGA Group's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
0/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Mr. Yasin Sebastian Qureshi founded The Naga Group AG in August 2015 and has been its Executive Director since September 22, 2017.Mr. Qureshi serves as Chairman of Advisory Board and Member of Advisory Board at The Naga Group AG since April 30, 2019. Mr. Qureshi served as Member of Management Board at The Naga Group AG until April 30, 2019 and has been its Chief Executive Officer since August 2015. Mr. Qureshi co-founded Varengold Bank AG (formerly Varengold Wertpapierhandelsbank AG) in 1995 and served as its Chief Executive Director from August 16, 2012 to July 31, 2015 and also served as its Chief Executive Officer until July 31, 2015. Mr. Qureshi served as chairman at Varengold Bank AG until July 31, 2015. He served as the Head of Asset Management & IT at Varengold Bank AG. He is one of Germany's top experts in Managed Futures and in developing innovative IT systems to support Futures Trading Strategies.
Yasin's compensation has increased in line with NAGA Group recently becoming profitable.
Yasin's remuneration is about average for companies of similar size in Germany.
Head of Business Development / Operations
Head of Legal & Tax
Chief Technology Officer
Head of Blockchain Projects
Managing Director at NAGA Markets
Chief Technology Officer at Ministry of Programming
The NAGA Group AG focuses on the development, marketing, and growth of disruptive applications for financial technology. Its products include NAGA Trader, the social network for traders; NAGA Brokers, a place where users can learn to trade through live and online events and Webinars; NAGA Virtual, a market place where gamers can monetize their game time; NAGA Wallet, an entry points to the world of cryptocurrencies; and NAGA Markets to trade with an EU licensed brokerage company. The company also offers NAGA Cybo, an AI robo-advisor to take care of investments; NAGA Academy for professional crypto, forex, and trading courses, seminars, and live Webinars; NAGA Exchange for cryptocurrencies exchange; NAGA Partners; NAGA Guard; and NAGA Card. The NAGA Group AG has various new products in the final stages of development, including NAGA Wealth, NAGA Local, and, NAGA Stocks. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Hamburg, Germany.
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