KPS AG (ETR:KSC) will increase its dividend on the 23rd of May to €0.19. This will take the annual payment from 4.1% to 4.1% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
Check out our latest analysis for KPS
KPS' Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, KPS' dividend made up quite a large proportion of earnings but only 45% of free cash flows. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.
EPS is set to grow by 0.7% over the next year. If recent patterns in the dividend continues, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 76% which is a bit high but can definitely be sustainable.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from €0.082 in 2012 to the most recent annual payment of €0.19. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.8% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. KPS might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. KPS' earnings per share has shrunk at 16% a year over the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.
In Summary
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for KPS that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:KSC
KPS
Provides business transformation consulting and process optimization services in retail and consumer goods sectors in Germany, Scandinavia, the United Kingdom, Switzerland, Benelux, Spain, and internationally.
Undervalued moderate.