NXP Semiconductors N.V.

DB:VNX Stock Report

Market Cap: €49.3b

NXP Semiconductors Valuation

Is VNX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VNX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

€193.08
Fair Value
2.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
32
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: VNX (€197) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€193.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VNX is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VNX?

Key metric: As VNX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VNX. This is calculated by dividing VNX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VNX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.2x
EarningsUS$2.15b
Market CapUS$57.71b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VNX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VNX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.9x
IFX Infineon Technologies
39.4x29.80%€44.3b
ELG Elmos Semiconductor
11.5x2.75%€1.4b
2454 MediaTek
19.8x13.61%NT$2.1t
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems
24.9x-7.47%US$44.0b
VNX NXP Semiconductors
27.2x15.83%€57.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VNX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the peer average (23.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VNX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VNX 27.2xIndustry Avg. 36.2xNo. of Companies5PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VNX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (36.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VNX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VNX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.2x
Fair PE Ratio32.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VNX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VNX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€197.00
€220.89
+12.13%
8.22%€246.72€179.28n/a32
Sep ’26€198.50
€221.88
+11.78%
8.42%€248.48€180.56n/a32
Aug ’26€181.50
€223.38
+23.07%
8.42%€250.16€181.78n/a32
Jul ’26€190.00
€200.82
+5.69%
12.69%€245.13€144.19n/a32
Jun ’26€171.00
€205.84
+20.37%
12.16%€246.62€149.74n/a32
May ’26€156.00
€207.31
+32.89%
12.82%€266.70€150.57n/a31
Apr ’26€176.00
€235.91
+34.04%
10.32%€278.90€189.87n/a31
Mar ’26€209.00
€245.36
+17.40%
10.04%€290.34€197.66n/a31
Feb ’26€206.00
€251.99
+22.33%
10.73%€302.49€192.06n/a32
Jan ’26€203.00
€255.70
+25.96%
10.33%€303.94€192.98n/a31
Dec ’25€219.00
€255.51
+16.67%
10.24%€302.49€192.06n/a31
Nov ’25€217.00
€265.10
+22.16%
10.77%€341.70€203.17n/a29
Oct ’25€212.00
€261.56
+23.38%
11.21%€331.04€196.83€192.0028
Sep ’25€229.00
€266.50
+16.38%
11.36%€337.14€200.46€198.5029
Aug ’25€244.00
€270.42
+10.83%
11.28%€341.10€202.82€181.5029
Jul ’25€246.00
€262.91
+6.87%
13.84%€344.58€139.70€190.0030
Jun ’25€249.00
€258.57
+3.84%
13.54%€342.25€138.75€171.0030
May ’25€240.00
€255.91
+6.63%
12.88%€346.06€140.30€156.0029
Apr ’25€228.00
€224.41
-1.57%
11.41%€274.68€137.34€176.0029
Mar ’25€238.20
€225.12
-5.49%
10.83%€276.84€138.42€209.0029
Feb ’25€195.20
€215.33
+10.31%
10.57%€242.88€138.00€206.0028
Jan ’25€205.40
€203.29
-1.03%
11.64%€252.98€135.53€203.0027
Dec ’24€188.20
€207.92
+10.48%
11.01%€243.83€140.67€219.0028
Nov ’24€159.80
€218.63
+36.81%
8.47%€246.04€175.07€217.0028
Oct ’24€190.40
€218.89
+14.96%
8.20%€243.88€173.53€212.0028
€220.26
Fair Value
10.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
32
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/06 02:52
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/06 00:00
Earnings2025/06/29
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NXP Semiconductors N.V. is covered by 58 analysts. 31 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
George ChangAletheia Analyst Network Limited
James FontanelliArete Research Services LLP
Brett SimpsonArete Research Services LLP