NXP Semiconductors Valuation

Is VNX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VNX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VNX (€240) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€181.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VNX is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VNX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VNX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.7x
PEG Ratio2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VNX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VNX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45.4x
IFX Infineon Technologies
14.3x8.0%€42.5b
ELG Elmos Semiconductor
13.5x4.6%€1.3b
SIS First Sensor
132.6xn/a€615.8m
MCHP Microchip Technology
21.1x-8.5%US$49.7b
VNX NXP Semiconductors
23.3x9.4%€63.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VNX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x) compared to the peer average (45.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VNX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VNX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VNX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VNX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.3x
Fair PE Ratio20x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VNX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VNX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€240.00
€241.22
+0.5%
12.3%€281.04€140.52n/a28
Apr ’25€228.00
€224.41
-1.6%
11.4%€274.68€137.34n/a29
Mar ’25€238.20
€225.12
-5.5%
10.8%€276.84€138.42n/a29
Feb ’25€195.20
€215.33
+10.3%
10.6%€242.88€138.00n/a28
Jan ’25€205.40
€203.29
-1.0%
11.6%€252.98€135.53n/a27
Dec ’24€188.20
€207.92
+10.5%
11.0%€243.83€140.67n/a28
Nov ’24€159.80
€218.63
+36.8%
8.5%€246.04€175.07n/a28
Oct ’24€190.40
€218.89
+15.0%
8.2%€243.88€173.53n/a28
Sep ’24€190.10
€215.44
+13.3%
8.0%€239.12€170.14n/a28
Aug ’24€203.20
€213.09
+4.9%
8.2%€236.73€168.44n/a27
Jul ’24€186.80
€182.92
-2.1%
11.3%€229.05€151.17n/a26
Jun ’24€170.00
€180.73
+6.3%
11.1%€226.83€149.70n/a26
May ’24€146.80
€181.69
+23.8%
11.2%€219.94€146.62€240.0026
Apr ’24€169.00
€183.37
+8.5%
10.6%€222.31€148.21€228.0027
Mar ’24€166.00
€183.37
+10.5%
10.6%€222.31€148.21€238.2027
Feb ’24€172.50
€178.25
+3.3%
10.4%€213.92€145.65€195.2027
Jan ’24€148.00
€172.71
+16.7%
11.8%€211.75€131.75€205.4027
Dec ’23€167.50
€176.15
+5.2%
11.8%€217.06€135.06€188.2027
Nov ’23€155.00
€181.87
+17.3%
13.0%€227.79€141.74€159.8025
Oct ’23€155.50
€199.51
+28.3%
11.8%€261.40€157.85€190.4027
Sep ’23€164.00
€199.51
+21.7%
11.8%€261.40€157.85€190.1027
Aug ’23€180.00
€194.59
+8.1%
11.8%€254.72€153.81€203.2027
Jul ’23€139.50
€203.68
+46.0%
16.0%€306.43€153.22€186.8027
Jun ’23€173.50
€203.66
+17.4%
15.0%€301.73€150.86€170.0027
May ’23€167.00
€216.72
+29.8%
15.7%€304.58€161.81€146.8027

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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