Universal Display Corporation

DB:UVD Stock Report

Market Cap: €7.4b

Universal Display Valuation

Is UVD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UVD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UVD (€154.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€185.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UVD is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UVD?

Key metric: As UVD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UVD. This is calculated by dividing UVD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UVD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.8x
EarningsUS$237.30m
Market CapUS$7.73b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UVD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UVD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.5x
IFX Infineon Technologies
24.4x17.1%€42.7b
ELG Elmos Semiconductor
11.3x4.1%€1.2b
WAF Siltronic
15.8x-22.3%€1.5b
AIXA AIXTRON
14.6x3.5%€1.7b
UVD Universal Display
31.8x14.3%€7.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UVD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.8x) compared to the peer average (16.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UVD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UVD 31.8xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UVD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.8x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UVD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UVD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.8x
Fair PE Ratio18.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UVD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UVD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€154.35
€204.61
+32.6%
12.2%€246.69€156.55n/a11
Dec ’25€152.00
€204.61
+34.6%
12.2%€246.69€156.55n/a11
Nov ’25€166.35
€201.90
+21.4%
11.1%€239.04€151.70n/a10
Oct ’25€186.85
€206.54
+10.5%
10.5%€234.49€157.83n/a10
Sep ’25€170.85
€204.61
+19.8%
10.5%€232.31€156.36n/a10
Aug ’25€204.30
€201.50
-1.4%
14.5%€237.74€155.45n/a11
Jul ’25€193.75
€194.68
+0.5%
13.7%€242.61€158.63n/a11
Jun ’25€160.70
€185.86
+15.7%
12.7%€241.51€156.06n/a11
May ’25€150.65
€186.18
+23.6%
12.2%€242.94€156.98n/a12
Apr ’25€154.40
€186.49
+20.8%
11.6%€239.93€156.88n/a11
Mar ’25€162.40
€185.16
+14.0%
12.0%€239.62€156.67n/a11
Feb ’25€157.00
€178.35
+13.6%
12.7%€229.73€151.62n/a11
Jan ’25€173.60
€166.67
-4.0%
15.7%€229.00€136.03n/a12
Dec ’24€154.20
€156.04
+1.2%
6.8%€172.53€138.49€152.0011
Nov ’24€131.00
€164.03
+25.2%
8.2%€185.49€140.54€166.3511
Oct ’24€147.00
€162.40
+10.5%
8.0%€182.36€139.56€186.8511
Sep ’24€149.40
€160.43
+7.4%
7.9%€178.83€136.86€170.8512
Aug ’24€131.40
€146.95
+11.8%
11.0%€173.24€123.09€204.3012
Jul ’24€129.80
€142.96
+10.1%
13.9%€172.50€103.05€193.7512
Jun ’24€137.00
€142.96
+4.3%
13.9%€172.50€103.05€160.7012
May ’24€120.00
€143.22
+19.3%
14.1%€174.10€103.46€150.6512
Apr ’24€142.75
€143.32
+0.4%
13.6%€176.08€104.64€154.4012
Mar ’24€127.70
€144.04
+12.8%
11.9%€181.05€107.59€162.4012
Feb ’24€120.90
€131.41
+8.7%
15.4%€176.29€104.76€157.0012
Jan ’24€100.30
€128.93
+28.5%
20.2%€179.75€77.17€173.6011
Dec ’23€107.00
€134.63
+25.8%
20.0%€186.45€80.05€154.2011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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