NVIDIA Valuation

Is NVD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NVD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NVD (€123.34) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€90.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NVD is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NVD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NVD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue34.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA53.6x
PEG Ratio2.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NVD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NVD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average53.3x
IFX Infineon Technologies
18.6x15.2%€39.5b
AVGO Broadcom
154.5x43.3%US$867.3b
2330 Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
29.4x19.5%NT$27.1t
ELG Elmos Semiconductor
10.8x4.2%€1.1b
NVD NVIDIA
62.4x22.4%€3.3t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NVD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (62.4x) compared to the peer average (53.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NVD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NVD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (62.4x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (16.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NVD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NVD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio62.4x
Fair PE Ratio38.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NVD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (62.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NVD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€123.34
€134.08
+8.7%
12.8%€178.94€80.52n/a52
Oct ’25€105.78
€134.08
+26.8%
12.8%€178.94€80.52n/a52
Sep ’25€107.78
€134.52
+24.8%
13.8%€180.96€81.43n/a51
Aug ’25€100.28
€129.02
+28.7%
17.3%€185.34€78.77n/a51
Jul ’25€115.80
€123.25
+6.4%
16.6%€186.26€79.16n/a50
Jun ’25€100.70
€110.15
+9.4%
11.8%€129.28€69.62n/a50
May ’25€81.62
€93.59
+14.7%
14.2%€131.15€58.08n/a51
Apr ’25€83.62
€89.74
+7.3%
15.7%€130.34€56.64n/a51
Mar ’25€75.72
€81.24
+7.3%
18.0%€129.19€19.53n/a51
Feb ’25€58.07
€61.22
+5.4%
19.9%€101.08€19.45n/a49
Jan ’25€44.97
€60.01
+33.4%
19.0%€100.58€19.36n/a49
Dec ’24€43.02
€59.66
+38.7%
19.4%€100.51€19.34n/a50
Nov ’24€40.40
€60.54
+49.8%
19.7%€104.19€20.05n/a49
Oct ’24€41.18
€59.91
+45.5%
20.0%€103.18€19.85€105.7849
Sep ’24€45.01
€58.04
+29.0%
21.4%€101.39€19.51€107.7849
Aug ’24€42.46
€44.40
+4.6%
17.0%€69.14€19.08€100.2847
Jul ’24€38.80
€42.32
+9.1%
16.9%€65.33€19.48€115.8045
Jun ’24€36.95
€40.26
+9.0%
21.1%€56.14€19.28€100.7045
May ’24€25.08
€25.69
+2.5%
14.7%€32.40€17.34€81.6244
Apr ’24€25.50
€25.22
-1.1%
15.0%€32.09€16.05€83.6244
Mar ’24€21.29
€23.54
+10.6%
16.6%€32.83€10.32€75.7241
Feb ’24€19.06
€18.93
-0.7%
20.0%€29.45€10.12€58.0741
Jan ’24€13.48
€19.09
+41.6%
19.9%€30.17€10.37€44.9742
Dec ’23€16.35
€19.34
+18.3%
20.6%€30.40€10.45€43.0241
Nov ’23€13.79
€19.97
+44.8%
24.4%€32.11€11.04€40.4041
Oct ’23€12.50
€21.00
+68.0%
22.8%€32.65€11.22€41.1842

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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