Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With SÜSS MicroTec SE's (ETR:SMHN) Prospects As Shares Rocket 28%

XTRA:SMHN
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Despite an already strong run, SÜSS MicroTec SE (ETR:SMHN) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 93%.

Following the firm bounce in price, SÜSS MicroTec may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 51.4x, since almost half of all companies in Germany have P/E ratios under 17x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for SÜSS MicroTec as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for SÜSS MicroTec

pe-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:SMHN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 2nd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on SÜSS MicroTec.

Is There Enough Growth For SÜSS MicroTec?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, SÜSS MicroTec would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 25% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 40% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 44% per year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 13% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why SÜSS MicroTec is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has got SÜSS MicroTec's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of SÜSS MicroTec's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with SÜSS MicroTec.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than SÜSS MicroTec. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether SÜSS MicroTec is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.