STMicroelectronics Valuation

Is SGM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SGM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SGM (€25.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€26.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SGM is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SGM?

Key metric: As SGM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SGM. This is calculated by dividing SGM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SGM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.4x
EarningsUS$2.07b
Market CapUS$23.60b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SGM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SGM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.5x
IFX Infineon Technologies
25x17.1%€43.8b
ELG Elmos Semiconductor
11.8x3.9%€1.2b
6723 Renesas Electronics
13.5x10.2%JP¥3.6t
GFS GlobalFoundries
31.6x22.5%US$24.2b
SGM STMicroelectronics
11.4x8.5%€22.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SGM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the peer average (20.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SGM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SGM 11.4xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SGM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SGM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SGM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.4x
Fair PE Ratio18.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SGM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SGM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€25.12
€30.11
+19.9%
13.9%€40.18€20.80n/a21
Dec ’25€23.69
€30.24
+27.7%
14.2%€39.75€20.58n/a20
Nov ’25€24.83
€32.43
+30.6%
17.1%€48.10€25.05n/a21
Oct ’25€26.00
€38.84
+49.4%
14.5%€50.54€28.01n/a21
Sep ’25€28.77
€39.24
+36.4%
12.3%€49.51€33.00n/a21
Aug ’25€29.60
€40.87
+38.1%
13.5%€53.50€34.09n/a21
Jul ’25€36.27
€48.93
+34.9%
11.9%€59.85€37.09n/a21
Jun ’25€37.61
€48.20
+28.2%
13.1%€58.98€32.55n/a20
May ’25€37.71
€49.20
+30.5%
13.6%€60.01€33.12n/a20
Apr ’25€39.99
€52.90
+32.3%
15.9%€75.24€34.52n/a20
Mar ’25€43.25
€54.69
+26.5%
18.2%€77.20€34.56n/a21
Feb ’25€40.68
€53.11
+30.6%
16.3%€75.24€34.52n/a20
Jan ’25€45.51
€52.79
+16.0%
19.9%€78.88€33.87n/a20
Dec ’24€43.69
€52.56
+20.3%
16.9%€68.12€34.45€23.6921
Nov ’24€36.10
€53.75
+48.9%
16.9%€70.16€35.48€24.8322
Oct ’24€40.98
€58.33
+42.3%
18.4%€80.31€35.46€26.0022
Sep ’24€43.52
€56.78
+30.5%
18.5%€77.75€34.33€28.7722
Aug ’24€48.52
€56.41
+16.3%
18.6%€77.21€34.09€29.6022
Jul ’24€45.66
€52.49
+15.0%
20.8%€73.71€32.32€36.2724
Jun ’24€41.76
€53.45
+28.0%
20.8%€74.98€32.88€37.6124
May ’24€38.53
€51.94
+34.8%
20.8%€73.11€32.01€37.7124
Apr ’24€48.72
€52.60
+8.0%
22.6%€83.14€31.20€39.9924
Mar ’24€45.47
€54.76
+20.4%
21.2%€85.05€33.78€43.2523
Feb ’24€43.13
€52.53
+21.8%
21.6%€82.06€32.60€40.6823
Jan ’24€33.07
€46.89
+41.8%
22.2%€66.65€22.80€45.5121
Dec ’23€36.88
€46.56
+26.3%
21.8%€67.38€23.05€43.6921

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 14:44
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/28
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

STMicroelectronics N.V. is covered by 59 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Robin van den BroekABN AMRO Bank N.V.
null Equity TeamActinvest Group Ltd.
Charles BordesAlphaValue