Penguin Solutions Valuation

Is 850 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 850 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 850 (€14.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€46.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 850 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 850?

Key metric: As 850 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 850. This is calculated by dividing 850's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 850's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.8x
SalesUS$1.17b
Market CapUS$894.20m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 850's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 850 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.9x
SIS First Sensor
4.9xn/a€603.9m
ELG Elmos Semiconductor
1.8x5.4%€1.1b
IFX Infineon Technologies
2.5x7.1%€37.8b
SMHN SÜSS MicroTec
2.3x10.7%€924.2m
850 Penguin Solutions
0.8x11.9%€894.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 850 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 850's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Semiconductor Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
S92 SMA Solar Technology
0.2x-0.6%US$452.96m
D0Q Sondrel (Holdings)
0.2xn/aUS$2.02m
No more companies available in this PS range
850 0.8xIndustry Avg. 1.7xNo. of Companies2PS012345+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 850 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (1.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 850's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

850 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 850's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 850 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€22.82
0%
9.7%€25.49€19.83n/a6
Nov ’25€14.10
€22.52
+59.7%
10.2%€24.92€19.38n/a5
Oct ’25n/a
€29.49
0%
10.1%€32.00€24.69n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
€29.49
0%
10.1%€32.00€24.69n/a4
Aug ’25n/a
€29.49
0%
10.1%€32.00€24.69n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
€25.75
0%
14.0%€32.54€22.31n/a5
Jun ’25€19.30
€25.75
+33.4%
14.0%€32.54€22.31n/a5
May ’25n/a
€26.02
0%
14.0%€32.88€22.55n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
€24.17
0%
14.6%€31.92€21.89n/a6
Mar ’25€19.10
€24.17
+26.5%
14.6%€31.92€21.89n/a6
Feb ’25n/a
€24.17
0%
14.6%€31.92€21.89n/a6
Jan ’25n/a
€24.88
0%
15.8%€33.29€20.92n/a6
Dec ’24n/a
€24.88
0%
15.8%€33.29€20.92n/a6
Nov ’24€13.20
€24.88
+88.5%
15.8%€33.29€20.92€14.106
Oct ’24n/a
€31.38
0%
7.3%€35.01€28.39n/a6
Sep ’24n/a
€29.90
0%
7.3%€33.35€27.04n/a6
Aug ’24n/a
€29.90
0%
7.3%€33.35€27.04n/a6
Jul ’24n/a
€30.39
0%
7.3%€33.91€27.49n/a6
Jun ’24n/a
€22.78
0%
26.4%€34.85€17.43€19.306
May ’24n/a
€22.78
0%
26.4%€34.85€17.43n/a6
Apr ’24€14.10
€23.42
+66.1%
22.9%€32.27€17.52n/a5
Mar ’24n/a
€23.10
0%
23.2%€33.00€17.91€19.106
Feb ’24n/a
€23.10
0%
23.2%€33.00€17.91n/a6
Jan ’24n/a
€24.08
0%
32.2%€38.13€15.05n/a6
Dec ’23€16.20
€24.08
+48.7%
32.2%€38.13€15.05n/a6
Nov ’23n/a
€24.08
0%
32.2%€38.13€15.05€13.206

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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