Nick Scali Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Nick Scali is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 7.7% and 8.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 6.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 29.3% in 3 years.

Key information

7.7%

Earnings growth rate

6.8%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth	43.6%
Revenue growth rate	8.9%
Future return on equity	29.3%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:NJN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	625	92	123	172	6
6/30/2026	570	78	103	154	6
6/30/2025	524	61	65	114	6
6/30/2024	468	81	103	131	N/A
3/31/2024	459	82	117	139	N/A
12/31/2023	450	84	131	147	N/A
9/30/2023	479	92	128	142	N/A
6/30/2023	508	101	125	138	N/A
3/31/2023	526	102	122	138	N/A
12/31/2022	545	102	119	138	N/A
9/30/2022	493	88	111	130	N/A
6/30/2022	441	75	103	122	N/A
3/31/2022	412	76	101	119	N/A
12/31/2021	382	77	100	116	N/A
9/30/2021	378	81	112	128	N/A
6/30/2021	373	84	125	140	N/A
3/31/2021	335	73	118	134	N/A
12/31/2020	296	61	111	128	N/A
9/30/2020	279	52	97	110	N/A
6/30/2020	262	42	84	92	N/A
3/31/2020	263	40	66	73	N/A
12/31/2019	264	38	48	53	N/A
9/30/2019	266	40	44	49	N/A
6/30/2019	268	42	40	45	N/A
3/31/2019	266	42	41	46	N/A
12/31/2018	264	43	42	47	N/A
9/30/2018	257	42	28	45	N/A
6/30/2018	251	41	14	43	N/A
3/31/2018	247	41	N/A	44	N/A
12/31/2017	242	40	N/A	45	N/A
9/30/2017	238	39	N/A	44	N/A
6/30/2017	233	37	N/A	43	N/A
3/31/2017	226	35	N/A	42	N/A
12/31/2016	219	32	N/A	41	N/A
9/30/2016	211	29	N/A	36	N/A
6/30/2016	203	26	N/A	32	N/A
3/31/2016	192	24	N/A	27	N/A
12/31/2015	181	21	N/A	22	N/A
9/30/2015	168	19	N/A	21	N/A
6/30/2015	156	17	N/A	19	N/A
3/31/2015	152	17	N/A	20	N/A
12/31/2014	147	16	N/A	21	N/A
9/30/2014	144	15	N/A	22	N/A
6/30/2014	141	14	N/A	22	N/A
3/31/2014	139	16	N/A	22	N/A
12/31/2013	136	17	N/A	21	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NJN's forecast earnings growth (7.7% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: NJN's earnings (7.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the German market (20.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NJN's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: NJN's revenue (8.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NJN's revenue (8.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NJN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (29.3%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 08:38
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

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Industry and Sector Metrics

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Analyst Sources

Nick Scali Limited is covered by 16 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Russell Wright	Barclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Peter Marks	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Daniel Morgan	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited