Lovisa Holdings Limited

DB:LO7 Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.5b

Lovisa Holdings Valuation

Is LO7 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of LO7 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: LO7 (€14.3) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (€29.34)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: LO7 is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LO7?

Key metric: As LO7 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LO7. This is calculated by dividing LO7's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LO7's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29x
EarningsAU$87.79m
Market CapAU$2.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LO7's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LO7 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.6x
DOU Douglas
16.9x32.13%€872.3m
FIE Fielmann Group
17.7x11.27%€3.6b
BIKE Bike24 Holding
86.1x66.47%€121.5m
HBH HORNBACH Holding KGaA
9.6x4.97%€1.3b
LO7 Lovisa Holdings
29x15.48%€2.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LO7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the peer average (27.6x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LO7's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LO7 29.0xIndustry Avg. 15.4xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LO7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (15.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LO7's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LO7 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29x
Fair PE Ratio14.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LO7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LO7 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.30
€17.58
+22.92%
10.57%€19.75€14.34n/a16
Jun ’27€13.80
€18.01
+30.50%
9.63%€19.98€14.76n/a15
May ’27€14.00
€18.09
+29.19%
10.37%€21.03€14.72n/a15
Apr ’27€12.60
€18.93
+50.21%
9.97%€22.75€14.84n/a15
Mar ’27€14.00
€18.33
+30.90%
10.31%€22.02€14.36n/a14
Feb ’27€18.60
€19.83
+6.62%
13.17%€23.79€15.12n/a14
Jan ’27€16.30
€19.33
+18.56%
14.01%€23.26€14.79n/a14
Dec ’26€18.30
€19.32
+5.57%
14.76%€23.61€14.62n/a14
Nov ’26€20.00
€21.28
+6.39%
16.05%€25.17€14.70n/a15
Oct ’26€20.40
€21.28
+4.31%
16.05%€25.17€14.70n/a15
Sep ’26€23.00
€20.61
-10.40%
16.83%€24.90€14.55n/a15
Aug ’26€18.60
€16.18
-13.03%
13.60%€19.70€12.87n/a15
Jul ’26€16.50
€16.04
-2.81%
11.82%€19.56€12.78€14.3015
Jun ’26€16.90
€15.99
-5.39%
11.44%€19.87€12.98€13.8015
May ’26€13.60
€15.81
+16.25%
12.28%€19.79€12.93€14.0015
Apr ’26€13.40
€16.61
+23.94%
9.94%€20.29€14.21€12.6015
Mar ’26€17.00
€17.51
+3.02%
11.03%€21.33€14.72€14.0016
Feb ’26€17.00
€17.12
+0.71%
13.47%€21.58€14.09€18.6016
Jan ’26€18.00
€16.99
-5.62%
13.07%€21.46€14.01€16.3016
Dec ’25€17.70
€17.65
-0.27%
13.07%€22.30€14.56€18.3016
Nov ’25€17.50
€19.06
+8.92%
11.74%€22.59€15.16€20.0016
Oct ’25€22.20
€18.48
-16.76%
14.97%€22.27€11.72€20.4017
Sep ’25€18.60
€18.48
-0.65%
14.97%€22.27€11.72€23.0017
Aug ’25€20.60
€18.62
-9.61%
14.99%€22.73€11.80€18.6017
Jul ’25€19.40
€18.65
-3.85%
15.30%€22.39€11.95€16.5017
€18.02
Fair Value
20.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/01 22:58
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/28
Annual Earnings2025/06/29

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Lovisa Holdings Limited is covered by 24 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Forres SalekianBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Aryan NoroziBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Chamithri RatnapalaBell Potter