Lovisa Holdings Limited

DB:LO7 Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.7b

Lovisa Holdings Valuation

Is LO7 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LO7 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€18.06
Fair Value
15.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: LO7 (€15.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€18.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LO7 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LO7?

Key metric: As LO7 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LO7. This is calculated by dividing LO7's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LO7's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35x
EarningsAU$82.41m
Market CapAU$2.88b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LO7's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LO7 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23x
DOU Douglas
25.7x21.4%€2.2b
FIE Fielmann Group
24.8x18.9%€3.5b
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
26xn/a€1.9b
CEC Ceconomy
15.4x37.1%€1.2b
LO7 Lovisa Holdings
35x15.2%€2.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LO7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the peer average (23x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LO7's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LO7 35.0xIndustry Avg. 16.8xNo. of Companies11PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LO7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LO7's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LO7 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35x
Fair PE Ratio13.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LO7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LO7 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€15.20
€17.08
+12.4%
13.2%€21.69€14.16n/a16
Jan ’26€18.00
€17.65
-1.9%
13.1%€22.30€14.56n/a16
Dec ’25€17.70
€17.65
-0.3%
13.1%€22.30€14.56n/a16
Nov ’25€17.50
€19.06
+8.9%
11.7%€22.59€15.16n/a16
Oct ’25€22.20
€18.48
-16.8%
15.0%€22.27€11.72n/a17
Sep ’25€18.60
€18.48
-0.7%
15.0%€22.27€11.72n/a17
Aug ’25€20.60
€18.62
-9.6%
15.0%€22.73€11.80n/a17
Jul ’25€19.40
€18.65
-3.9%
15.3%€22.39€11.95n/a17
Jun ’25€20.40
€17.75
-13.0%
17.8%€23.98€11.81n/a17
May ’25€18.90
€17.31
-8.4%
17.0%€23.63€11.64n/a17
Apr ’25€19.70
€16.68
-15.3%
15.6%€20.97€11.51n/a15
Mar ’25€18.80
€16.59
-11.7%
14.4%€19.61€11.59n/a15
Feb ’25€13.40
€14.05
+4.8%
11.2%€16.67€10.91n/a14
Jan ’25€14.90
€13.93
-6.5%
12.3%€16.80€10.99€18.0014
Dec ’24€11.50
€13.75
+19.6%
12.4%€16.56€10.84€17.7014
Nov ’24€10.50
€14.19
+35.2%
12.2%€17.32€10.75€17.5014
Oct ’24€11.60
€14.43
+24.4%
12.1%€17.54€10.89€22.2014
Sep ’24€13.10
€14.18
+8.2%
12.1%€17.23€10.69€18.6014
Aug ’24€12.80
€15.03
+17.5%
19.5%€21.59€9.68€20.6014
Jul ’24€12.00
€15.28
+27.3%
20.4%€21.86€9.80€19.4014
Jun ’24€12.10
€16.38
+35.4%
17.4%€21.69€10.03€20.4015
May ’24€16.00
€16.34
+2.1%
17.2%€21.44€9.91€18.9014
Apr ’24€14.60
€16.00
+9.6%
14.3%€18.63€10.16€19.7013
Mar ’24€15.40
€16.51
+7.2%
14.5%€19.22€10.48€18.8013
Feb ’24€16.30
€16.40
+0.6%
17.1%€19.26€10.24€13.4013
Jan ’24€15.00
€16.16
+7.7%
17.6%€19.29€10.26€14.9013
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
€16.56
Fair Value
8.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 15:31
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/10 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lovisa Holdings Limited is covered by 23 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Aryan NoroziBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Chamithri RatnapalaBell Potter
Sam HaddadBell Potter