AUTO1 Group Valuation

Is AG1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AG1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AG1 (€9.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€66.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AG1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AG1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AG1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-40.5x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AG1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AG1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.3x
DOU Douglas
0.5x6.2%€2.1b
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
0.3xn/a€1.6b
HBH HORNBACH Holding KGaA
0.2x3.8%€1.3b
CEC Ceconomy
0.06x1.1%€1.3b
AG1 AUTO1 Group
0.4x8.6%€2.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AG1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AG1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a36.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a36.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AG1 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (0.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AG1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AG1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AG1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AG1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.08
€9.66
+6.4%
20.0%€14.00€6.50n/a12
Aug ’25€8.08
€8.42
+4.2%
31.6%€14.00€4.00n/a12
Jul ’25€6.35
€7.55
+18.8%
32.2%€13.00€4.00n/a13
Jun ’25€6.97
€7.54
+8.2%
32.3%€13.00€4.00n/a13
May ’25€4.78
€7.28
+52.4%
57.7%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Apr ’25€4.38
€7.25
+65.3%
58.6%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Mar ’25€3.52
€7.43
+111.3%
57.1%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Feb ’25€3.79
€8.46
+123.4%
55.0%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Jan ’25€6.49
€9.93
+53.0%
40.0%€20.00€6.30n/a12
Dec ’24€5.71
€10.26
+79.5%
37.2%€20.00€7.00n/a12
Nov ’24€5.66
€10.28
+81.6%
36.2%€20.00€6.50n/a12
Oct ’24€6.06
€10.50
+73.3%
34.2%€20.00€6.50n/a12
Sep ’24€7.69
€10.76
+39.9%
31.9%€20.00€7.00€9.2612
Aug ’24€9.80
€10.77
+9.9%
32.1%€20.00€7.00€8.0812
Jul ’24€8.50
€10.82
+27.3%
32.0%€20.00€7.00€6.3512
Jun ’24€8.00
€10.87
+35.8%
31.8%€20.00€7.00€6.9712
May ’24€7.13
€11.05
+54.9%
32.7%€20.00€6.00€4.7811
Apr ’24€6.52
€11.09
+70.2%
32.3%€20.00€6.00€4.3811
Mar ’24€7.09
€11.08
+56.4%
31.6%€20.00€6.00€3.5212
Feb ’24€7.47
€11.66
+56.2%
30.5%€20.00€6.00€3.7912
Jan ’24€7.80
€12.37
+58.6%
35.9%€25.00€6.00€6.4913
Dec ’23€8.74
€12.85
+47.0%
40.9%€25.00€6.00€5.7113
Nov ’23€7.27
€14.88
+104.8%
42.5%€30.00€9.00€5.6613
Oct ’23€6.47
€17.52
+170.9%
33.6%€30.00€9.00€6.0613
Sep ’23€10.13
€19.57
+93.2%
39.5%€38.00€9.00€7.6913

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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