American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.

XTRA:AFG Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.5b

American Eagle Outfitters Valuation

Is AFG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AFG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: AFG (€14.6) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (€20.94)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: AFG is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AFG?

Key metric: As AFG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AFG. This is calculated by dividing AFG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AFG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.1x
EarningsUS$280.41m
Market CapUS$2.89b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AFG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AFG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.8x
ZAL Zalando
58.3x34.15%€5.6b
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
18.7xn/a€2.1b
FIE Fielmann Group
15.7x10.68%€3.3b
HBH HORNBACH Holding KGaA
10.3x4.95%€1.4b
AFG American Eagle Outfitters
10.1x15.89%€2.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the peer average (25.8x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AFG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AFG 10.1xIndustry Avg. 14.5xNo. of Companies12PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (15.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AFG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AFG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AFG's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AFG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.60
€16.81
+15.17%
20.74%€26.67€13.76n/a11
Sep ’27€14.42
€16.87
+17.05%
21.42%€26.55€13.70n/a10
Aug ’27€14.77
€17.04
+15.43%
21.54%€27.09€13.98n/a10
Jul ’27€15.10
€17.11
+13.32%
22.36%€26.97€13.92n/a9
Jun ’27n/a
€16.86
0%
22.36%€26.57€13.72n/a9
May ’27n/a
€20.37
0%
19.28%€29.85€16.20n/a9
Apr ’27n/a
€20.67
0%
19.28%€30.28€16.44n/a9
Mar ’27n/a
€21.84
0%
15.17%€29.66€16.95n/a9
Feb ’27n/a
€21.54
0%
15.17%€29.25€16.71n/a9
Jan ’27n/a
€19.66
0%
15.46%€26.37€15.31n/a9
Dec ’26n/a
€14.22
0%
17.93%€19.03€9.51n/a9
Nov ’26n/a
€13.79
0%
17.52%€18.46€9.44n/a9
Oct ’26n/a
€13.48
0%
18.25%€18.18€9.30n/a9
Sep ’26n/a
€9.88
0%
25.18%€16.24€7.69€14.429
Aug ’26n/a
€10.02
0%
24.75%€16.63€7.88€14.779
Jul ’26n/a
€9.74
0%
23.60%€16.23€7.69€15.1010
Jun ’26n/a
€10.04
0%
23.60%€16.74€7.93n/a10
May ’26n/a
€11.18
0%
19.94%€16.73€8.81n/a10
Apr ’26n/a
€13.03
0%
34.52%€25.88€9.24n/a10
Mar ’26n/a
€18.44
0%
23.18%€30.58€15.29n/a10
Feb ’26n/a
€19.21
0%
21.21%€30.73€15.37n/a10
Jan ’26n/a
€20.47
0%
19.25%€30.75€14.41n/a10
Dec ’25n/a
€22.24
0%
19.52%€32.18€16.09n/a10
Nov ’25n/a
€22.23
0%
18.04%€31.10€15.55n/a10
Oct ’25n/a
€21.82
0%
18.04%€30.54€15.27n/a10
Sep ’25n/a
€22.08
0%
17.31%€30.76€16.29n/a10
€16.9
Fair Value
13.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/09 13:10
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/09 00:00
Earnings2026/05/02
Annual Earnings2026/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. is covered by 38 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Matthew McClintockBarclays
Adrienne Yih-TennantBarclays
Lorraine Corrine HutchinsonBofA Global Research