ORIX JREIT Valuation

Is O2F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of O2F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: O2F (€1010) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1283.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: O2F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for O2F?

Key metric: As O2F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for O2F. This is calculated by dividing O2F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is O2F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20x
EarningsJP¥23.05b
Market CapJP¥461.47b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does O2F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for O2F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.4x
HABA Hamborner REIT
63.5x10.8%€519.8m
HIW Highwoods Properties
24.3x-32.2%US$3.4b
CDP COPT Defense Properties
26.8x4.0%US$3.6b
MINDSPACE Mindspace Business Parks REIT
43x19.6%₹219.2b
O2F ORIX JREIT
20xn/a€461.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: O2F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the peer average (39.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does O2F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Office REITs Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
O2F 20.0xIndustry Avg. 21.0xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: O2F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the Global Office REITs industry average (20.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is O2F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

O2F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate O2F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst O2F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1,010.00
€1,099.34
+8.8%
7.1%€1,231.26€960.38n/a7
Nov ’25€930.00
€1,062.74
+14.3%
5.2%€1,116.17€941.21n/a7
Oct ’25€895.00
€1,133.39
+26.6%
4.0%€1,197.06€1,069.71n/a6
Sep ’25€920.00
€1,022.66
+11.2%
4.0%€1,080.11€965.21n/a6
Aug ’25€925.00
€1,022.66
+10.6%
4.0%€1,080.11€965.21n/a6
Jul ’25€865.00
€1,082.28
+25.1%
5.6%€1,195.12€1,006.73n/a6
Jun ’25€890.00
€1,082.28
+21.6%
5.6%€1,195.12€1,006.73n/a6
May ’25€940.00
€1,076.69
+14.5%
6.1%€1,201.86€1,000.56n/a7
Apr ’25€955.00
€1,149.97
+20.4%
8.0%€1,295.37€1,042.46n/a7
Mar ’25€915.00
€1,198.95
+31.0%
7.4%€1,329.83€1,082.86n/a6
Feb ’25€1,010.00
€1,198.95
+18.7%
7.4%€1,329.83€1,082.86n/a6
Jan ’25€1,010.00
€1,238.17
+22.6%
6.4%€1,354.24€1,102.74n/a6
Dec ’24€1,000.00
€1,169.08
+16.9%
7.0%€1,297.01€1,056.14n/a7
Nov ’24€1,050.00
€1,214.29
+15.6%
6.0%€1,324.19€1,078.27€930.007
Oct ’24€1,080.00
€1,214.46
+12.4%
6.7%€1,325.35€1,079.22€895.007
Sep ’24€1,110.00
€1,214.46
+9.4%
6.7%€1,325.35€1,079.22€920.007
Aug ’24€1,090.00
€1,238.16
+13.6%
6.7%€1,351.22€1,100.28€925.007
Jul ’24€1,070.00
€1,267.15
+18.4%
6.5%€1,385.94€1,128.55€865.007
Jun ’24€1,120.00
€1,277.53
+14.1%
6.7%€1,392.12€1,133.58€890.007
May ’24€1,120.00
€1,277.53
+14.1%
6.7%€1,392.12€1,133.58€940.007
Apr ’24€1,100.00
€1,423.77
+29.4%
2.7%€1,498.17€1,355.48€955.007
Mar ’24€1,180.00
€1,423.77
+20.7%
2.7%€1,498.17€1,355.48€915.007
Feb ’24€1,210.00
€1,423.77
+17.7%
2.7%€1,498.17€1,355.48€1,010.007
Jan ’24€1,260.00
€1,375.26
+9.1%
2.8%€1,445.06€1,307.43€1,010.007
Dec ’23€1,260.00
€1,375.26
+9.1%
2.8%€1,445.06€1,307.43€1,000.007
Nov ’23€1,290.00
€1,345.08
+4.3%
3.3%€1,424.54€1,288.87€1,050.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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