First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.

DB:F5W Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.9b

First Industrial Realty Trust Valuation

Is F5W undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of F5W when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: F5W (€43) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€86.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: F5W is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for F5W?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

F5W key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue13.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20.2x
PEG Ratio-10.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does F5W's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for F5W vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.3x
GIB GSW Immobilien
8.4xn/a€5.0b
STAG STAG Industrial
32.5x-10.6%US$6.4b
WDP Warehouses De Pauw
31.9x30.2%€5.5b
FIBRAPL 14 FIBRA Prologis
4.4x-63.1%Mex$94.1b
F5W First Industrial Realty Trust
21.4x-2.1%€6.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: F5W is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the peer average (23x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does F5W's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrial REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: F5W is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the Global Industrial REITs industry average (22.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is F5W's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

F5W PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate F5W's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst F5W forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€42.80
€50.63
+18.3%
10.8%€57.83€39.17n/a14
Apr ’25€48.00
€51.64
+7.6%
9.9%€57.24€38.78n/a14
Mar ’25€48.80
€52.11
+6.8%
10.6%€58.47€38.98n/a14
Feb ’25€48.40
€50.32
+4.0%
10.7%€58.17€38.78n/a14
Jan ’25€47.40
€46.75
-1.4%
12.1%€57.03€37.12n/a14
Dec ’24€42.60
€47.42
+11.3%
11.6%€58.75€38.24n/a13
Nov ’24€39.80
€48.77
+22.5%
13.5%€61.42€38.74n/a13
Oct ’24€44.80
€53.49
+19.4%
7.7%€59.20€42.81n/a11
Sep ’24€47.60
€53.49
+12.4%
7.7%€59.20€42.81n/a11
Aug ’24€46.80
€53.22
+13.7%
8.3%€59.27€41.94n/a11
Jul ’24€47.60
€53.82
+13.1%
7.5%€59.70€46.13n/a10
Jun ’24€47.80
€53.82
+12.6%
7.5%€59.70€46.13n/a10
May ’24€47.00
€53.91
+14.7%
7.3%€58.99€46.28n/a10
Apr ’24€48.20
€52.95
+9.9%
8.0%€59.96€44.28€48.0010
Mar ’24€48.80
€55.24
+13.2%
5.1%€60.96€51.58€48.8010
Feb ’24€48.80
€52.63
+7.9%
8.5%€60.23€45.40€48.4010
Jan ’24€45.20
€52.74
+16.7%
9.4%€61.32€45.28€47.4010
Dec ’23€47.60
€53.68
+12.8%
9.6%€62.75€46.34€42.6010
Nov ’23€47.20
€57.61
+22.0%
8.6%€65.81€48.60€39.8010
Oct ’23€45.60
€62.76
+37.6%
10.7%€74.25€55.19€44.8011
Sep ’23€50.50
€62.76
+24.3%
10.7%€74.25€55.19€47.6011
Aug ’23€50.50
€60.83
+20.5%
11.9%€73.48€53.88€46.8011
Jul ’23€46.20
€61.25
+32.6%
12.1%€77.31€52.50€47.6012
Jun ’23€49.40
€62.23
+26.0%
11.7%€77.72€51.50€47.8013
May ’23€55.00
€66.16
+20.3%
8.2%€78.63€58.74€47.0012
Apr ’23€57.00
€60.87
+6.8%
6.2%€68.49€55.87€48.2013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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