Invincible Investment Corporation

DB:8JF Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.0b

Invincible Investment Valuation

Is 8JF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8JF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8JF (€386) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€95.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8JF is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8JF?

Key metric: As 8JF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8JF. This is calculated by dividing 8JF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8JF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.5x
EarningsJP¥23.93b
Market CapJP¥490.14b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8JF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8JF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.8x
PK Park Hotels & Resorts
9.4x1.6%US$3.0b
HMN CapitaLand Ascott Trust
14x-9.4%S$3.3b
COVH Covivio Hotels
45.9xn/a€2.7b
8985 Japan Hotel REIT Investment
22.1x9.3%JP¥346.1b
8JF Invincible Investment
20.5x6.7%€490.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8JF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the peer average (22.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8JF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Hotel and Resort REITs Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
8JF 20.5xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8JF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the Global Hotel and Resort REITs industry average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8JF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8JF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 8JF's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8JF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€386.00
€470.08
+21.8%
8.7%€523.29€387.85n/a7
Nov ’25€366.00
€455.46
+24.4%
8.8%€512.77€380.05n/a7
Oct ’25€376.00
€483.64
+28.6%
8.8%€544.50€403.57n/a7
Sep ’25€396.00
€481.15
+21.5%
8.7%€539.65€399.98n/a7
Aug ’25€406.00
€441.98
+8.9%
8.5%€488.35€361.95n/a7
Jul ’25€372.00
€450.44
+21.1%
9.0%€494.95€366.84n/a7
Jun ’25€392.00
€455.63
+16.2%
10.0%€511.03€378.76n/a7
May ’25€410.00
€436.00
+6.3%
9.1%€503.24€372.99n/a7
Apr ’25€402.00
€433.02
+7.7%
7.7%€476.67€385.01n/a7
Mar ’25€368.00
€424.06
+15.2%
7.0%€477.06€385.32n/a6
Feb ’25€370.00
€431.60
+16.6%
9.0%€491.46€365.44n/a6
Jan ’25€378.00
€432.41
+14.4%
7.5%€466.49€370.64n/a6
Dec ’24€358.00
€414.43
+15.8%
7.6%€448.20€356.10n/a6
Nov ’24€354.00
€417.07
+17.8%
7.9%€460.31€365.73€366.007
Oct ’24€380.00
€409.64
+7.8%
6.7%€444.08€367.95€376.007
Sep ’24€382.00
€407.42
+6.7%
6.7%€441.67€365.96€396.007
Aug ’24€360.00
€382.36
+6.2%
13.0%€449.29€308.08€406.007
Jul ’24€352.00
€376.62
+7.0%
12.7%€444.69€304.93€372.007
Jun ’24€374.00
€388.51
+3.9%
10.3%€440.83€325.53€392.007
May ’24€384.00
€388.51
+1.2%
10.3%€440.83€325.53€410.007
Apr ’24€372.00
€394.89
+6.2%
9.5%€430.61€333.38€402.007
Mar ’24€360.00
€384.20
+6.7%
10.5%€433.35€321.52€368.007
Feb ’24€384.00
€388.55
+1.2%
10.5%€438.26€325.16€370.007
Jan ’24€352.00
€358.44
+1.8%
9.1%€423.06€319.03€378.007
Dec ’23€328.00
€339.19
+3.4%
7.6%€371.40€296.99€358.007
Nov ’23€312.00
€340.58
+9.2%
8.5%€378.42€302.60€354.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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