CareTrust REIT Valuation

Is 7XC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7XC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7XC (€29.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€50.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7XC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7XC?

Key metric: As 7XC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7XC. This is calculated by dividing 7XC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7XC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio58.3x
EarningsUS$98.82m
Market CapUS$5.74b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7XC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7XC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.1x
SBRA Sabra Health Care REIT
44.7x18.8%US$4.4b
NHI National Health Investors
27.9x10.8%US$3.5b
AED Aedifica/SA
25.1x38.3%€2.7b
HABA Hamborner REIT
62.8x11.0%€514.1m
7XC CareTrust REIT
58.3x45.5%€5.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7XC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (58.3x) compared to the peer average (40.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7XC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Health Care REITs Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7XC 58.3xIndustry Avg. 26.5xNo. of Companies5PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7XC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (58.3x) compared to the Global Health Care REITs industry average (26.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7XC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7XC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio58.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 7XC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7XC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€29.20
€32.02
+9.7%
8.0%€35.19€25.68n/a9
Nov ’25€29.40
€30.04
+2.2%
10.4%€34.14€24.92n/a9
Oct ’25€27.60
€27.40
-0.7%
8.4%€30.72€24.39n/a9
Sep ’25€26.80
€26.58
-0.8%
7.6%€29.56€24.19n/a9
Aug ’25€24.80
€25.06
+1.1%
4.6%€26.59€23.84n/a9
Jul ’25€23.20
€25.35
+9.3%
4.2%€27.01€24.21n/a9
Jun ’25€23.40
€24.42
+4.4%
6.2%€26.78€21.24n/a9
May ’25€22.80
€23.73
+4.1%
5.9%€25.38€21.62n/a8
Apr ’25€22.20
€23.03
+3.7%
4.9%€24.87€21.19n/a8
Mar ’25€20.80
€22.82
+9.7%
5.4%€24.98€21.28n/a9
Feb ’25€19.00
€22.73
+19.6%
4.7%€24.06€21.29n/a9
Jan ’25€20.20
€22.33
+10.5%
6.1%€23.82€20.15n/a8
Dec ’24€20.80
€21.64
+4.1%
6.8%€23.67€19.12n/a9
Nov ’24€20.40
€21.87
+7.2%
4.6%€22.82€19.97€29.409
Oct ’24€19.10
€21.20
+11.0%
5.7%€22.51€18.76€27.6010
Sep ’24€18.70
€20.34
+8.7%
7.8%€22.07€17.47€26.809
Aug ’24€18.50
€19.73
+6.7%
7.3%€21.63€17.13€24.809
Jul ’24€17.90
€19.94
+11.4%
7.5%€22.01€17.42€23.208
Jun ’24€17.80
€19.96
+12.1%
8.7%€22.41€17.74€23.408
May ’24€17.40
€19.49
+12.0%
8.7%€21.88€17.32€22.808
Apr ’24€17.70
€19.97
+12.9%
9.5%€22.13€17.52€22.206
Mar ’24€18.00
€20.12
+11.8%
8.7%€22.46€17.78€20.808
Feb ’24€18.80
€19.48
+3.6%
8.5%€22.15€17.54€19.009
Jan ’24€17.70
€19.91
+12.5%
9.7%€22.88€17.16€20.209
Dec ’23€18.50
€20.16
+9.0%
9.3%€23.23€17.42€20.809
Nov ’23€18.50
€20.92
+13.1%
10.0%€24.30€18.22€20.409

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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