Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Adler Group S.A. (ETR:ADJ) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Adler Group
What Is Adler Group's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Adler Group had debt of €7.02b at the end of December 2021, a reduction from €8.05b over a year. On the flip side, it has €555.7m in cash leading to net debt of about €6.47b.
A Look At Adler Group's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Adler Group had liabilities of €2.17b due within a year, and liabilities of €7.17b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €555.7m and €795.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €7.99b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €802.0m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Adler Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Adler Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
In the last year Adler Group wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 114%, to €1.1b. So there's no doubt that shareholders are cheering for growth
Caveat Emptor
Despite the top line growth, Adler Group still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping €110m. Reflecting on this and the significant total liabilities, it's hard to know what to say about the stock because of our intense dis-affinity for it. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it burned through €276m in the last year. So is this a high risk stock? We think so, and we'd avoid it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Adler Group is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are significant...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:ADJ
Adler Group
Engages in the purchase, management, and development of multifamily residential real estate properties in Germany.
Slight and slightly overvalued.