New World Development Company Limited

DB:NWDA Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.9b

New World Development Valuation

Is NWDA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NWDA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NWDA (€1.08) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NWDA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NWDA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NWDA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.3x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NWDA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NWDA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.9x
FC9 FCR Immobilien
11.9x2.8%€103.6m
GWK3 GAG Immobilien
27.3xn/a€880.5m
SPB Sedlmayr Grund und Immobilien
73.8xn/a€888.5m
VIH1 VIB Vermögen
2.8xn/a€360.3m
NWDA New World Development
31.3x25.0%€24.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NWDA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the peer average (28.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NWDA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a96.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a96.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NWDA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the European Real Estate industry average (20x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NWDA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NWDA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.3x
Fair PE Ratio19.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NWDA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NWDA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.08
€1.12
+3.5%
19.1%€1.69€0.81n/a16
May ’25€0.98
€1.14
+15.9%
18.9%€1.70€0.81n/a16
Apr ’25€0.94
€1.20
+26.5%
16.4%€1.68€0.95n/a16
Mar ’25€1.06
€1.25
+18.1%
25.5%€2.24€0.94n/a16
Feb ’25€1.12
€1.50
+34.1%
26.0%€2.37€1.09n/a15
Jan ’25€1.45
€1.57
+8.4%
25.6%€2.32€1.07n/a15
Dec ’24€1.35
€1.85
+36.9%
23.3%€2.39€1.16n/a12
Nov ’24€1.71
€1.94
+13.3%
20.6%€2.45€1.31n/a11
Oct ’24€1.77
€2.56
+44.9%
24.6%€3.66€1.45n/a11
Sep ’24€1.91
€2.62
+37.1%
18.9%€3.54€1.81n/a11
Aug ’24€2.22
€2.62
+18.0%
18.9%€3.54€1.81n/a11
Jul ’24€2.26
€2.71
+20.0%
18.2%€3.56€1.82n/a13
Jun ’24€2.18
€3.03
+39.1%
27.6%€5.37€1.85n/a15
May ’24€2.40
€2.96
+23.4%
27.1%€5.20€1.79€0.9815
Apr ’24€2.48
€3.03
+22.2%
27.7%€5.32€1.83€0.9415
Mar ’24€2.66
€3.08
+15.7%
28.0%€5.42€1.87€1.0615
Feb ’24€2.82
€2.99
+6.0%
30.9%€5.28€1.82€1.1215
Jan ’24€2.66
€2.98
+11.9%
35.2%€5.38€1.85€1.4515
Dec ’23€2.24
€3.13
+39.6%
34.2%€5.58€1.92€1.3515
Nov ’23€2.06
€3.45
+67.5%
29.7%€5.80€2.06€1.7115
Oct ’23€2.86
€4.46
+56.1%
22.1%€6.24€2.67€1.7714
Sep ’23€3.18
€4.54
+42.7%
16.3%€5.97€3.48€1.9114
Aug ’23€3.26
€4.64
+42.4%
16.8%€6.03€3.52€2.2214
Jul ’23€3.42
€4.48
+31.0%
16.5%€5.78€3.37€2.2614
Jun ’23€3.60
€4.38
+21.8%
16.0%€5.58€3.26€2.1814
May ’23€3.62
€4.38
+21.1%
16.0%€5.58€3.26€2.4014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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