Kerry Properties Valuation

Is KR3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KR3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KR3 (€1.81) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KR3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KR3?

Key metric: As KR3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KR3. This is calculated by dividing KR3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KR3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.8x
EarningsHK$2.29b
Market CapHK$22.38b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KR3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KR3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32x
FC9 FCR Immobilien
12.6x8.8%€93.3m
SPB Sedlmayr Grund und Immobilien
65.6xn/a€903.2m
GWK3 GAG Immobilien
24xn/a€848.5m
INS Instone Real Estate Group
25.9x37.9%€365.6m
KR3 Kerry Properties
9.8x15.2%€22.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KR3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the peer average (32x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KR3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Real Estate Industry?

22 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KR3 9.8xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies30PE01224364860+
22 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KR3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the European Real Estate industry average (18.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KR3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KR3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.8x
Fair PE Ratio18.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KR3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KR3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.81
€2.13
+17.4%
11.3%€2.43€1.77n/a9
Nov ’25€1.87
€2.13
+13.7%
11.3%€2.43€1.77n/a9
Oct ’25€1.84
€1.91
+3.8%
10.8%€2.36€1.64n/a9
Sep ’25€1.63
€1.90
+16.4%
11.5%€2.35€1.56n/a9
Aug ’25€1.48
€1.93
+30.2%
11.7%€2.40€1.60n/a9
Jul ’25€1.54
€1.87
+21.3%
13.6%€2.40€1.48n/a9
Jun ’25€1.63
€1.87
+14.6%
13.6%€2.40€1.48n/a9
May ’25€1.76
€1.87
+6.4%
13.8%€2.39€1.47n/a9
Apr ’25€1.65
€1.86
+12.5%
14.3%€2.39€1.47n/a9
Mar ’25€1.47
€1.89
+28.5%
14.7%€2.36€1.48n/a9
Feb ’25€1.39
€1.90
+37.0%
13.6%€2.36€1.60n/a9
Jan ’25€1.60
€2.03
+27.1%
15.4%€2.56€1.60n/a9
Dec ’24€1.49
€2.08
+39.8%
15.5%€2.61€1.63n/a9
Nov ’24€1.55
€2.08
+34.4%
15.5%€2.61€1.63€1.879
Oct ’24€1.55
€2.32
+49.9%
14.2%€2.91€1.80€1.8410
Sep ’24€1.63
€2.36
+44.6%
11.2%€2.84€1.87€1.6310
Aug ’24€1.90
€2.51
+32.0%
13.0%€3.02€1.86€1.4810
Jul ’24€1.86
€2.63
+41.2%
13.6%€3.04€1.87€1.5410
Jun ’24€2.00
€2.81
+40.6%
10.2%€3.10€2.15€1.6310
May ’24€2.30
€2.75
+19.7%
10.0%€3.00€2.08€1.7610
Apr ’24€2.30
€2.78
+20.8%
9.8%€3.04€2.10€1.6510
Mar ’24€2.32
€2.70
+16.2%
17.6%€3.34€1.92€1.4710
Feb ’24€2.38
€2.59
+8.8%
15.9%€3.14€1.89€1.3910
Jan ’24€2.00
€2.54
+27.1%
18.6%€3.18€1.93€1.609
Dec ’23€1.81
€2.68
+48.2%
20.0%€3.35€2.00€1.499
Nov ’23€1.57
€3.00
+91.0%
13.0%€3.48€2.15€1.5510

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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