ESR Group Limited

DB:3K6 Stock Report

Market Cap: €6.3b

ESR Group Valuation

Is 3K6 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3K6 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3K6 (€1.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3K6 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3K6?

Key metric: As 3K6 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 3K6. This is calculated by dividing 3K6's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 3K6's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio10.5x
SalesUS$622.38m
Market CapUS$6.53b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 3K6's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 3K6 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.6x
PAT PATRIZIA
2.5x3.7%€673.4m
DIC Branicks Group
0.7x-21.8%€182.2m
LEG LEG Immobilien
4.3x-14.2%€6.1b
FC9 FCR Immobilien
2.8x5.1%€104.6m
3K6 ESR Group
10.5x15.4%€50.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 3K6 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.5x) compared to the peer average (2.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 3K6's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Real Estate Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DMRE DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate
0.4x-42.0%US$76.87m
ADJ Adler Group
0.1xn/aUS$49.02m
NUVA Noratis
0.3x16.6%US$14.39m
AMMN Grounds Real Estate Development
0.6xn/aUS$10.19m
3K6 10.5xIndustry Avg. 3.3xNo. of Companies9PS02.44.87.29.612+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 3K6 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.5x) compared to the German Real Estate industry average (3.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3K6's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3K6 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio10.5x
Fair PS Ratio6.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 3K6 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3K6 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€1.71
0%
13.4%€2.13€1.48n/a5
Dec ’25€1.44
€1.78
+23.3%
12.1%€2.11€1.47n/a6
Nov ’25€1.22
€1.64
+34.4%
15.7%€2.07€1.20n/a8
Oct ’25€1.38
€1.63
+18.0%
17.0%€2.00€1.17n/a8
Sep ’25€1.35
€1.63
+20.6%
17.0%€2.00€1.17n/a8
Aug ’25€1.34
€1.82
+36.1%
16.9%€2.13€1.20n/a8
Jul ’25€1.17
€1.83
+56.3%
16.9%€2.13€1.21n/a8
Jun ’25€1.28
€1.83
+42.9%
16.9%€2.13€1.21n/a8
May ’25€0.99
€1.79
+81.1%
17.8%€2.15€1.22n/a11
Apr ’25€0.98
€1.79
+82.2%
17.8%€2.14€1.21n/a11
Mar ’25€1.18
€2.21
+87.2%
17.3%€3.22€1.73n/a10
Feb ’25€1.16
€2.15
+84.9%
11.5%€2.56€1.72n/a9
Jan ’25n/a
€2.16
0%
9.9%€2.52€1.82n/a9
Dec ’24n/a
€2.27
0%
15.8%€3.16€1.84€1.4410
Nov ’24€1.18
€2.36
+99.8%
15.8%€3.28€1.91€1.2210
Oct ’24€1.31
€2.36
+79.8%
15.8%€3.28€1.91€1.3810
Sep ’24€1.32
€2.28
+72.7%
15.8%€3.17€1.84€1.3510
Aug ’24€1.54
€2.54
+64.6%
12.5%€3.15€2.02€1.3410
Jul ’24€1.57
€2.56
+62.8%
12.5%€3.17€2.04€1.1710
Jun ’24€1.37
€2.61
+90.7%
12.4%€3.23€2.08€1.2810
May ’24€1.36
€2.54
+86.9%
12.4%€3.14€2.02€0.9910
Apr ’24€1.57
€2.58
+64.5%
12.4%€3.19€2.06€0.9810
Mar ’24€1.57
€3.14
+100.2%
9.3%€3.53€2.66€1.189
Feb ’24€1.80
€3.35
+86.4%
13.3%€4.17€2.60€1.1610
Jan ’24€1.88
€3.53
+87.9%
14.7%€4.26€2.65n/a10
Dec ’23€2.04
€3.64
+78.5%
14.0%€4.38€2.73n/a11

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 07:46
End of Day Share Price 2024/11/28 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

ESR Group Limited is covered by 14 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Donald ChuaBofA Global Research
Yuanqi SunChina International Capital Corporation Limited
Cong ChenCitic Securities Co., Ltd.