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Jiayuan International Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 1J9 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

1J9 (€0.01) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (€0.05)

Is 1J9 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1J9 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1J9 (€0.01) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1J9 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1J9?

Key metric: As 1J9 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1J9. This is calculated by dividing 1J9's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1J9's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	1.4x
Earnings	CN¥766.26m
Market Cap	CN¥1.10b

1J9 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	9.2x
PEG Ratio	0.05x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1J9's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1J9 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	18.9x
CRZK CR Energy	9.9x	39.8%	€123.7m
INS Instone Real Estate Group	25.9x	37.9%	€365.6m
DEF DEFAMA Deutsche Fachmarkt	26.9x	0.2%	€140.2m
FC9 FCR Immobilien	12.8x	8.8%	€97.2m
1J9 Jiayuan International Group	1.4x	31.6%	€1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1J9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (7.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1J9's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Real Estate Industry?

24 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	17.8x	97.9%
1J9 Jiayuan International Group	1.4x	31.6%	US$151.21m

24 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	17.8x	97.9%
1J9 Jiayuan International Group	1.4x	31.6%	US$151.21m

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Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1J9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.4x) compared to the German Real Estate industry average (14.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1J9's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1J9 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	1.4x
Fair PE Ratio	3.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1J9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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