Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Valuation
Is YDO1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of YDO1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: YDO1 (€190.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2092.61)
Significantly Below Fair Value: YDO1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YDO1?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is YDO1's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | US$4.48b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | n/a |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | -10.4x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Book Ratio vs Peers
How does YDO1's PB Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PB | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 14.4x | ||
MOR MorphoSys | 50.8x | 38.7% | €2.5b |
BIO3 Biotest | 2.3x | -53.2% | €1.4b |
FYB Formycon | 1.4x | 1.4% | €723.2m |
HPHA Heidelberg Pharma | 3.1x | n/a | €140.3m |
YDO1 Madrigal Pharmaceuticals | 11.1x | 61.4% | €4.5b |
Price-To-Book vs Peers: YDO1 is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (11.1x) compared to the peer average (14.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does YDO1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Biotechs Industry?
Price-To-Book vs Industry: YDO1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (11.1x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (2.3x).
Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is YDO1's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PB Ratio | 11.1x |
| Fair PB Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate YDO1's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | €190.15 | €351.51 +84.9% | 23.0% | €526.69 | €139.83 | n/a | 14 |
| Apr ’25 | €245.60 | €361.24 +47.1% | 15.7% | €517.31 | €247.21 | n/a | 13 |
| Mar ’25 | €231.60 | €294.30 +27.1% | 18.0% | €375.58 | €143.03 | n/a | 12 |
| Feb ’25 | €202.90 | €295.04 +45.4% | 14.0% | €351.94 | €187.46 | n/a | 12 |
| Jan ’25 | €208.40 | €289.63 +39.0% | 17.9% | €351.13 | €141.19 | n/a | 12 |
| Dec ’24 | €194.90 | €289.63 +48.6% | 17.9% | €351.13 | €141.19 | n/a | 12 |
| Nov ’24 | €128.45 | €300.11 +133.6% | 21.3% | €385.69 | €145.22 | n/a | 12 |
| Oct ’24 | €137.05 | €304.54 +122.2% | 17.9% | €382.04 | €208.72 | n/a | 12 |
| Sep ’24 | €170.50 | €305.32 +79.1% | 15.8% | €373.17 | €204.38 | n/a | 11 |
| Aug ’24 | €183.10 | €310.25 +69.4% | 15.0% | €378.68 | €203.91 | n/a | 11 |
| Jul ’24 | €210.40 | €310.25 +47.5% | 15.0% | €378.68 | €203.91 | n/a | 11 |
| Jun ’24 | €248.00 | €306.53 +23.6% | 17.7% | €385.05 | €207.33 | n/a | 12 |
| May ’24 | €283.00 | €289.62 +2.3% | 18.3% | €379.64 | €177.90 | €190.15 | 12 |
| Apr ’24 | €222.00 | €295.22 +33.0% | 17.2% | €367.65 | €182.88 | €245.60 | 12 |
| Mar ’24 | €260.00 | €295.22 +13.5% | 17.2% | €367.65 | €182.88 | €231.60 | 12 |
| Feb ’24 | €260.00 | €284.67 +9.5% | 18.4% | €366.41 | €182.26 | €202.90 | 12 |
| Jan ’24 | €276.00 | €273.41 -0.9% | 16.6% | €353.85 | €183.06 | €208.40 | 12 |
| Dec ’23 | €69.00 | €156.44 +126.7% | 23.6% | €208.14 | €76.90 | €194.90 | 12 |
| Nov ’23 | €74.50 | €152.31 +104.4% | 23.5% | €202.86 | €74.95 | €128.45 | 12 |
| Oct ’23 | €66.50 | €152.31 +129.0% | 23.5% | €202.86 | €74.95 | €137.05 | 12 |
| Sep ’23 | €73.50 | €153.35 +108.6% | 19.6% | €198.07 | €73.18 | €170.50 | 12 |
| Aug ’23 | €58.50 | €153.19 +161.9% | 19.3% | €199.45 | €73.69 | €183.10 | 12 |
| Jul ’23 | €70.50 | €150.24 +113.1% | 12.3% | €189.93 | €120.69 | €210.40 | 12 |
| Jun ’23 | €62.00 | €150.24 +142.3% | 12.3% | €189.93 | €120.69 | €248.00 | 12 |
| May ’23 | €66.00 | €150.15 +127.5% | 15.1% | €180.16 | €116.26 | €283.00 | 11 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.