Oxford Biomedica Valuation

Is OXOA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OXOA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OXOA (€2.66) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€15.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OXOA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OXOA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

OXOA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-4.2x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does OXOA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for OXOA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.9x
HPHA Heidelberg Pharma
14.6x26.1%€139.8m
FYB Formycon
9.5x26.3%€734.7m
BIO3 Biotest
1.7x2.0%€1.4b
MDG1 Medigene
5.9x18.6%€35.4m
OXOA Oxford Biomedica
2.2x17.9%€260.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: OXOA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the peer average (7.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OXOA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: OXOA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (10.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OXOA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OXOA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.2x
Fair PS Ratio2.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: OXOA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OXOA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.66
€4.90
+84.1%
45.6%€8.67€2.11n/a8
Apr ’25€2.22
€4.87
+119.4%
46.2%€8.68€2.11n/a8
Mar ’25€1.85
€4.94
+166.9%
41.7%€8.40€2.45n/a8
Feb ’25€1.95
€4.94
+153.2%
41.7%€8.40€2.45n/a8
Jan ’25€2.44
€4.94
+102.4%
41.7%€8.40€2.45n/a8
Dec ’24€1.94
€5.00
+157.9%
40.0%€8.33€3.07n/a7
Nov ’24€2.22
€8.22
+270.4%
93.4%€27.66€3.05n/a8
Oct ’24€3.38
€8.62
+155.1%
89.9%€27.60€3.05n/a8
Sep ’24€3.64
€10.68
+193.3%
62.9%€27.79€4.23n/a9
Aug ’24€5.10
€10.87
+113.1%
61.6%€28.04€4.26n/a9
Jul ’24€4.74
€10.78
+127.5%
61.6%€27.86€4.24n/a9
Jun ’24€5.20
€12.52
+140.8%
51.9%€27.59€6.04n/a7
May ’24€4.80
€13.09
+172.7%
52.2%€27.37€5.99n/a6
Apr ’24€4.80
€12.22
+154.6%
57.5%€27.54€4.13€2.227
Mar ’24€6.20
€12.22
+97.1%
57.5%€27.54€4.13€1.857
Feb ’24€4.62
€12.22
+164.5%
57.5%€27.54€4.13€1.957
Jan ’24€4.80
€12.22
+154.6%
57.5%€27.54€4.13€2.447
Dec ’23€4.36
€12.31
+182.5%
57.5%€27.75€4.16€1.947
Nov ’23€3.62
€15.21
+320.1%
45.8%€27.16€5.94€2.226
Oct ’23€3.86
€15.24
+294.9%
46.8%€27.53€6.02€3.386
Sep ’23€5.00
€14.46
+189.1%
51.4%€28.33€6.20€3.647
Aug ’23€5.55
€14.46
+160.5%
51.4%€28.33€6.20€5.107
Jul ’23€5.10
€15.56
+205.1%
45.2%€27.84€6.96€4.746
Jun ’23€5.75
€17.62
+206.5%
36.5%€28.21€10.07€5.205
May ’23€6.45
€19.44
+201.4%
27.4%€28.61€12.76€4.805
Apr ’23€7.55
€19.98
+164.7%
23.2%€28.50€15.91€4.805

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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