NuCana Valuation

Is N04 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of N04 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate N04's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate N04's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for N04?

Key metric: As N04 is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for N04. This is calculated by dividing N04's market cap by their current book value.
What is N04's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio0.5x
BookUK£4.35m
Market CapUK£2.36m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does N04's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for N04 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.2x
T5O bioXXmed
13.2xn/a€1.4m
CNW co.don
1xn/a€6.5m
MDG1 Medigene
0.9x11.0%€17.4m
VSC 4SC
45.8xn/a€50.2m
N04 NuCana
0.5x11.7%€3.0m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: N04 is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (20x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does N04's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Biotechs Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
V9Z Aceragen
0.1xn/aUS$3.12m
V9Z Aceragen
0.1xn/aUS$2.18m
O7P NeuBase Therapeutics
0.1xn/aUS$1.39m
No more companies available in this PB range
N04 0.5xIndustry Avg. 2.4xNo. of Companies3PB00.61.21.82.43+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: N04 is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.5x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (2.4x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is N04's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

N04 PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio0.5x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate N04's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst N04 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.25
€45.62
+3,549.5%
77.5%€95.52€18.37n/a3
Nov ’25€1.47
€45.62
+3,003.3%
77.5%€95.52€18.37n/a3
Oct ’25€2.04
€83.57
+3,996.6%
55.5%€134.79€22.47n/a3
Sep ’25€3.60
€122.71
+3,308.6%
16.1%€136.68€94.76n/a3
Aug ’25€3.32
€207.30
+6,143.9%
47.4%€346.31€137.79n/a3
Jul ’25€2.52
€192.22
+7,527.7%
57.7%€346.73€91.97n/a3
Jun ’25€3.28
€192.22
+5,760.3%
57.7%€346.73€91.97n/a3
May ’25€3.68
€110.69
+2,907.9%
18.1%€138.56€92.37n/a3
Apr ’25€5.25
€110.69
+2,008.4%
18.1%€138.56€92.37n/a3
Mar ’25€6.40
€105.02
+1,540.9%
25.7%€142.02€78.35n/a3
Feb ’25€5.95
€105.02
+1,665.0%
25.7%€142.02€78.35n/a3
Jan ’25€5.60
€105.02
+1,775.3%
25.7%€142.02€78.35n/a3
Dec ’24€8.45
€105.02
+1,142.8%
25.7%€142.02€78.35n/a3
Nov ’24€11.20
€105.02
+837.6%
25.7%€142.02€78.35€1.473
Oct ’24€13.63
€99.88
+633.0%
27.5%€136.92€71.43€2.043
Sep ’24€16.00
€99.88
+524.2%
27.5%€136.92€71.43€3.603
Aug ’24€16.75
€99.88
+496.3%
27.5%€136.92€71.43€3.323
Jul ’24€18.50
€99.88
+439.9%
27.5%€136.92€71.43€2.523
Jun ’24€19.00
€99.88
+425.7%
27.5%€136.92€71.43€3.283
May ’24€18.63
€99.88
+436.2%
27.5%€136.92€71.43€3.683
Apr ’24€22.00
€92.13
+318.8%
31.3%€138.98€67.40€5.254
Mar ’24€33.00
€89.58
+171.4%
38.2%€142.19€50.24€6.404
Feb ’24€33.50
€82.21
+145.4%
43.1%€144.06€48.02€5.955
Jan ’24€15.13
€82.21
+443.5%
43.1%€144.06€48.02€5.605
Dec ’23€19.88
€82.21
+313.6%
43.1%€144.06€48.02€8.455
Nov ’23€26.00
€108.05
+315.6%
32.5%€152.25€58.11€11.205

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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