Mesoblast Valuation

Is LWB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LWB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LWB (€0.64) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€10.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LWB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LWB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LWB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue114.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-14.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does LWB's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for LWB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.7x
FYB Formycon
1.5x7.1%€734.7m
BIO3 Biotest
2.3x-53.2%€1.4b
MOR MorphoSys
52.1x51.0%€2.6b
HPHA Heidelberg Pharma
3.1xn/a€139.8m
LWB Mesoblast
1.6x56.8%€1.2b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: LWB is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.6x) compared to the peer average (14.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LWB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPB048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: LWB is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.6x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (2.3x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LWB's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LWB PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio1.6x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LWB's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LWB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.64
€0.67
+5.2%
27.3%€0.85€0.49n/a2
Apr ’25€0.42
€0.42
-0.9%
15.9%€0.48€0.35n/a2
Mar ’25€0.15
€0.38
+153.2%
9.4%€0.42€0.35n/a2
Feb ’25€0.13
€0.36
+168.4%
1.7%€0.37€0.35n/a2
Jan ’25€0.16
€0.72
+339.8%
1.7%€0.73€0.71n/a2
Dec ’24€0.23
€0.83
+260.9%
15.9%€0.96€0.70n/a2
Nov ’24€0.19
€0.83
+332.3%
15.9%€0.96€0.70n/a2
Oct ’24€0.20
€1.24
+506.4%
47.8%€2.06€0.69n/a3
Sep ’24€0.23
€1.24
+430.9%
46.9%€2.05€0.72n/a3
Aug ’24€0.65
€2.07
+221.3%
17.2%€2.48€1.61n/a3
Jul ’24€0.68
€2.07
+207.0%
17.2%€2.48€1.61n/a3
Jun ’24€0.65
€2.07
+218.8%
17.2%€2.48€1.61n/a3
May ’24€0.51
€2.07
+310.3%
17.2%€2.48€1.61n/a3
Apr ’24€0.57
€2.07
+266.1%
17.2%€2.48€1.61€0.423
Mar ’24€0.59
€2.13
+264.0%
21.2%€2.59€1.68€0.152
Feb ’24€0.66
€1.91
+189.9%
11.9%€2.13€1.68€0.132
Jan ’24€0.54
€1.98
+266.5%
13.8%€2.25€1.70€0.162
Dec ’23€0.70
€1.98
+181.0%
13.8%€2.25€1.70€0.232
Nov ’23€0.59
€1.98
+233.1%
13.8%€2.25€1.70€0.192
Oct ’23€0.50
€1.98
+292.0%
13.8%€2.25€1.70€0.202
Sep ’23€0.57
€1.98
+246.0%
13.8%€2.25€1.70€0.232
Aug ’23€0.58
€2.05
+254.2%
18.0%€2.42€1.68€0.652
Jul ’23€0.34
€2.05
+497.2%
18.0%€2.42€1.68€0.682
Jun ’23€0.63
€2.05
+228.7%
18.0%€2.42€1.68€0.652
May ’23€0.71
€2.20
+210.6%
23.1%€2.71€1.69€0.512
Apr ’23€0.76
€2.20
+191.7%
23.1%€2.71€1.69€0.572

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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