Cytokinetics, Incorporated

DB:KK3A Stock Report

Market Cap: €6.4b

Cytokinetics Valuation

Is KK3A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KK3A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KK3A (€60.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€620.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KK3A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KK3A?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

KK3A key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue928x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-14.4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does KK3A's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for KK3A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.7x
MOR MorphoSys
52.1x51.0%€2.6b
BIO3 Biotest
2.3x-53.2%€1.4b
FYB Formycon
1.4x3.1%€705.5m
HPHA Heidelberg Pharma
3.1xn/a€138.4m
KK3A Cytokinetics
n/a53.9%€6.8b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: KK3A has negative equity and a Price-To-Book Ratio (-17.7x) compared to the peer average (14.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KK3A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPB048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: KK3A has negative equity and a Price-To-Book Ratio (-17.7x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (2.3x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KK3A's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KK3A PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio-17.7x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KK3A's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KK3A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€60.50
€85.14
+40.7%
19.7%€113.73€39.53n/a19
Apr ’25€64.50
€84.12
+30.4%
19.3%€111.46€38.74n/a19
Mar ’25€67.50
€85.01
+25.9%
19.2%€112.58€39.13n/a19
Feb ’25€74.00
€84.92
+14.8%
19.2%€112.39€39.06n/a19
Jan ’25€74.00
€74.96
+1.3%
24.1%€99.39€38.31n/a19
Dec ’24€30.40
€56.24
+85.0%
16.1%€75.02€38.45n/a20
Nov ’24€32.60
€57.92
+77.7%
14.7%€75.59€38.74n/a17
Oct ’24€27.60
€55.77
+102.1%
15.3%€73.37€37.60n/a16
Sep ’24€33.20
€55.77
+68.0%
15.3%€73.37€37.60n/a16
Aug ’24€29.20
€56.13
+92.2%
15.7%€73.61€37.72n/a15
Jul ’24€29.80
€56.13
+88.3%
15.7%€73.61€37.72n/a15
Jun ’24€35.40
€54.87
+55.0%
15.9%€72.71€37.26n/a16
May ’24€33.80
€55.08
+63.0%
16.3%€73.36€38.51n/a16
Apr ’24€28.60
€55.72
+94.8%
16.4%€73.75€38.72€64.5016
Mar ’24€40.60
€57.92
+42.6%
13.6%€75.03€45.96€67.5016
Feb ’24€39.00
€58.07
+48.9%
12.7%€74.13€50.96€74.0015
Jan ’24€42.00
€58.46
+39.2%
14.0%€75.35€44.27€74.0015
Dec ’23€40.40
€66.06
+63.5%
13.0%€79.58€53.38€30.4014
Nov ’23€43.60
€70.33
+61.3%
12.6%€84.46€59.74€32.6014
Oct ’23€49.60
€63.09
+27.2%
13.2%€77.93€46.76€27.6013
Sep ’23€52.50
€63.09
+20.2%
13.2%€77.93€46.76€33.2013
Aug ’23€40.80
€62.75
+53.8%
14.8%€79.88€47.93€29.2013
Jul ’23€38.40
€58.18
+51.5%
16.7%€75.35€43.33€29.8013
Jun ’23€37.00
€56.14
+51.7%
17.2%€74.85€43.04€35.4013
May ’23€33.40
€54.19
+62.3%
16.9%€71.12€43.62€33.8013
Apr ’23€33.20
€51.05
+53.8%
15.7%€68.00€41.70€28.6013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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