Illumina Valuation

Is ILU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ILU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ILU (€108.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€144.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ILU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ILU?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ILU key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA59.3x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ILU's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ILU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.2x
SRT3 Sartorius
5.8x11.2%€16.9b
1SXP SCHOTT Pharma KGaA
6.3x12.1%€5.7b
GXI Gerresheimer
1.7x9.9%€3.5b
EVT Evotec
2.9x13.6%€2.4b
ILU Illumina
4.1x7.6%€18.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ILU is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the peer average (4.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ILU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Life Sciences Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ILU is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the European Life Sciences industry average (4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ILU's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ILU PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.1x
Fair PS Ratio3.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ILU is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ILU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€108.88
€150.58
+38.3%
22.1%€237.11€93.72n/a22
Apr ’25€126.88
€147.62
+16.3%
23.4%€238.03€78.42n/a22
Mar ’25€129.18
€147.40
+14.1%
23.4%€238.08€78.44n/a22
Feb ’25€133.66
€142.46
+6.6%
29.8%€238.21€73.86n/a24
Jan ’25€127.68
€135.04
+5.8%
32.4%€233.70€45.29n/a24
Dec ’24€99.99
€141.37
+41.4%
38.1%€239.69€46.10n/a21
Nov ’24€100.08
€185.69
+85.5%
24.0%€300.22€94.41n/a21
Oct ’24€129.78
€200.90
+54.8%
25.4%€300.80€94.59n/a21
Sep ’24€155.82
€205.60
+31.9%
19.2%€293.10€138.26n/a21
Aug ’24€172.56
€214.38
+24.2%
17.7%€292.12€133.59n/a20
Jul ’24€170.98
€224.40
+31.2%
17.5%€307.84€137.43n/a19
Jun ’24€184.84
€224.65
+21.5%
17.7%€308.92€137.91n/a19
May ’24€185.68
€223.10
+20.2%
17.5%€304.44€136.73n/a19
Apr ’24€213.75
€225.47
+5.5%
16.2%€279.36€139.68€126.8820
Mar ’24€186.68
€226.95
+21.6%
16.8%€282.09€139.65€129.1820
Feb ’24€196.26
€229.12
+16.7%
16.2%€275.97€147.18€133.6620
Jan ’24€185.52
€241.69
+30.3%
19.4%€330.19€150.94€127.6818
Dec ’23€207.55
€249.18
+20.1%
19.3%€338.03€154.53€99.9916
Nov ’23€234.10
€263.17
+12.4%
18.9%€344.15€177.14€100.0816
Oct ’23€197.28
€264.64
+34.1%
21.1%€387.71€178.55€129.7816
Sep ’23€200.05
€250.46
+25.2%
25.2%€378.33€129.43€155.8216
Aug ’23€209.85
€300.54
+43.2%
30.1%€468.00€146.25€172.5616
Jul ’23€173.30
€340.38
+96.4%
20.7%€492.86€236.00€170.9816
Jun ’23€219.55
€336.96
+53.5%
20.7%€488.07€233.71€184.8416
May ’23€285.85
€386.27
+35.1%
14.5%€512.21€318.99€185.6817
Apr ’23€316.50
€376.67
+19.0%
14.3%€498.78€310.63€213.7517

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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