Formycon Valuation

Is FYB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FYB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FYB (€47.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€84.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FYB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FYB?

Key metric: As FYB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FYB. This is calculated by dividing FYB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FYB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.4x
Earnings€63.90m
Market Cap€857.24m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FYB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FYB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.7x
BIO3 Biotest
15.4x29.3%€1.3b
2INV 2invest
12.5xn/a€62.7m
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
17x13.9%€309.3m
DMP Dermapharm Holding
22x18.1%€2.0b
FYB Formycon
13.4x31.5%€857.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FYB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the peer average (16.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FYB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FYB 13.4xIndustry Avg. 26.5xNo. of Companies5PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FYB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (26.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FYB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FYB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.4x
Fair PE Ratio19.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FYB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FYB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€47.40
€85.67
+80.7%
11.6%€102.00€63.00n/a9
Nov ’25€48.80
€85.67
+75.5%
11.6%€102.00€63.00n/a9
Oct ’25€52.00
€85.67
+64.7%
11.6%€102.00€63.00n/a9
Sep ’25€53.00
€84.78
+60.0%
11.7%€102.00€63.00n/a9
Aug ’25€52.10
€86.11
+65.3%
12.5%€101.00€63.00n/a9
Jul ’25€53.20
€85.56
+60.8%
12.8%€101.00€63.00n/a9
Jun ’25€44.70
€86.00
+92.4%
14.1%€101.00€63.00n/a7
May ’25€40.85
€91.80
+124.7%
8.4%€101.00€81.00n/a5
Apr ’25€45.85
€103.33
+125.4%
13.0%€130.00€89.00n/a6
Mar ’25€48.05
€103.33
+115.1%
13.0%€130.00€89.00n/a6
Feb ’25€48.85
€103.20
+111.3%
14.2%€130.00€89.00n/a5
Jan ’25€55.50
€106.60
+92.1%
11.2%€130.00€97.00n/a5
Dec ’24€67.70
€106.60
+57.5%
11.2%€130.00€97.00n/a5
Nov ’24€58.20
€106.60
+83.2%
11.2%€130.00€97.00€48.805
Oct ’24€58.30
€106.60
+82.8%
11.2%€130.00€97.00€52.005
Sep ’24€60.10
€115.25
+91.8%
10.8%€130.00€101.00€53.004
Aug ’24€66.50
€118.67
+78.4%
10.7%€130.00€101.00€52.103
Jul ’24€61.90
€118.67
+91.7%
10.7%€130.00€101.00€53.203
Jun ’24€71.70
€118.67
+65.5%
10.7%€130.00€101.00€44.703
May ’24€70.10
€127.50
+81.9%
2.0%€130.00€125.00€40.852
Apr ’24€66.40
€128.33
+93.3%
1.8%€130.00€125.00€45.853
Mar ’24€77.30
€128.33
+66.0%
1.8%€130.00€125.00€48.053
Feb ’24€82.00
€126.33
+54.1%
4.1%€130.00€119.00€48.853
Jan ’24€85.80
€126.33
+47.2%
4.1%€130.00€119.00€55.503
Dec ’23€82.50
€126.33
+53.1%
4.1%€130.00€119.00€67.703
Nov ’23€74.30
€126.33
+70.0%
4.1%€130.00€119.00€58.203

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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