Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.

DB:AB3A Stock Report

Market Cap: €10.8b

Sarepta Therapeutics Valuation

Is AB3A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AB3A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AB3A (€117.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€161.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AB3A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AB3A?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AB3A key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue8.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-220.3x
PEG Ratio19.4x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AB3A's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AB3A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.2x
MOR MorphoSys
10.6x24.6%€2.6b
BIO3 Biotest
1.4x-4.8%€1.4b
FYB Formycon
9.6x26.0%€744.4m
HPHA Heidelberg Pharma
15.1x28.7%€137.0m
AB3A Sarepta Therapeutics
8.3x18.6%€11.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AB3A is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.3x) compared to the peer average (6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AB3A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a30.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a30.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AB3A is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.3x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (9.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AB3A's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AB3A PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8.3x
Fair PS Ratio4.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AB3A is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AB3A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€117.10
€154.68
+32.1%
13.2%€206.01€117.72n/a21
May ’25€119.70
€154.04
+28.7%
14.3%€209.51€119.72n/a20
Apr ’25€119.60
€150.93
+26.2%
14.1%€205.74€117.57n/a21
Mar ’25€116.05
€151.73
+30.7%
14.2%€206.71€118.12n/a21
Feb ’25€110.05
€136.57
+24.1%
20.5%€207.31€95.33n/a21
Jan ’25€88.08
€122.73
+39.3%
26.4%€202.38€72.28n/a20
Dec ’24€74.08
€127.22
+71.7%
27.7%€204.69€73.10n/a18
Nov ’24€68.64
€130.81
+90.6%
30.4%€208.19€37.85n/a17
Oct ’24€116.65
€171.58
+47.1%
12.6%€210.56€131.24n/a18
Sep ’24€111.40
€164.34
+47.5%
13.5%€204.20€127.28n/a19
Aug ’24€98.08
€162.05
+65.2%
13.4%€199.21€125.29n/a18
Jul ’24€102.80
€164.00
+59.5%
13.1%€200.15€127.62n/a19
Jun ’24€115.25
€165.63
+43.7%
12.2%€203.20€129.56n/a20
May ’24€110.35
€155.43
+40.9%
11.4%€186.95€126.14€119.7018
Apr ’24€124.22
€157.13
+26.5%
11.6%€189.91€128.14€119.6018
Mar ’24€133.68
€158.36
+18.5%
14.5%€211.97€117.24€116.0519
Feb ’24€114.18
€137.47
+20.4%
14.2%€179.38€99.35€110.0518
Jan ’24€118.56
€136.77
+15.4%
14.8%€178.05€94.65€88.0820
Dec ’23€116.88
€135.59
+16.0%
16.1%€183.88€96.78€74.0820
Nov ’23€114.82
€136.01
+18.5%
18.4%€195.68€94.29€68.6420
Oct ’23€111.06
€131.92
+18.8%
17.7%€181.82€92.91€116.6520
Sep ’23€108.28
€127.49
+17.7%
19.0%€180.36€92.16€111.4020
Aug ’23€90.39
€116.16
+28.5%
20.6%€158.60€78.32€98.0820
Jul ’23€70.46
€111.39
+58.1%
20.7%€152.00€70.30€102.8020
Jun ’23€67.84
€110.49
+62.9%
20.7%€149.70€69.23€115.2520
May ’23€69.98
€110.50
+57.9%
22.2%€169.64€71.38€110.3520

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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