Scholar Rock Holding Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Scholar Rock Holding is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 53.4% and 68.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 56.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -23.1% in 3 years.

Key information

53.4%

Earnings growth rate

56.9%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth	42.3%
Revenue growth rate	68.4%
Future return on equity	-23.1%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	26 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:2QK - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	184	-114	-125	-74	8
12/31/2025	26	-244	-206	-229	9
12/31/2024	N/A	-243	-155	-200	9
9/30/2024	N/A	-226	-189	-189	N/A
6/30/2024	N/A	-204	-169	-169	N/A
3/31/2024	N/A	-183	-152	-152	N/A
12/31/2023	N/A	-166	-145	-145	N/A
9/30/2023	N/A	-159	-137	-137	N/A
6/30/2023	N/A	-160	-131	-131	N/A
3/31/2023	N/A	-166	-134	-133	N/A
12/31/2022	33	-135	-134	-133	N/A
9/30/2022	37	-131	-138	-136	N/A
6/30/2022	43	-125	-149	-146	N/A
3/31/2022	47	-112	-146	-143	N/A
12/31/2021	19	-132	-132	-127	N/A
9/30/2021	18	-122	-121	-114	N/A
6/30/2021	16	-109	-109	-101	N/A
3/31/2021	15	-97	-96	-89	N/A
12/31/2020	15	-86	-64	-60	N/A
9/30/2020	20	-71	-60	-57	N/A
6/30/2020	21	-64	-50	-48	N/A
3/31/2020	22	-57	-48	-45	N/A
12/31/2019	20	-51	-66	-63	N/A
9/30/2019	13	-54	6	8	N/A
6/30/2019	8	-49	12	14	N/A
3/31/2019	3	-51	17	19	N/A
12/31/2018	N/A	-49	23	25	N/A
9/30/2018	N/A	-43	-37	-37	N/A
6/30/2018	N/A	-38	N/A	-33	N/A
3/31/2018	N/A	-29	N/A	-27	N/A
12/31/2017	N/A	-25	N/A	-22	N/A
12/31/2016	0	-16	N/A	-15	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 2QK is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: 2QK is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: 2QK is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 2QK's revenue (68.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 2QK's revenue (68.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 2QK is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/26 19:41
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation is covered by 16 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Madhu Kumar	Baird
Etzer Darout	BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Guyn Kim	BMO Capital Markets Equity Research

Scholar Rock Holding Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Forecast to breakeven in 2025

Forecast to breakeven in 2025

Recent updates

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $300.00002 million.

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $300.00002 million.

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $275 million.

Scholar Rock Reports Apitegromab Meets Primary Endpoint in Phase 3 Sapphire Study in Patients with Spinal Muscular Atrophy

Scholar Rock Appoints Beth Shafer, Ph.D., to Chief Business Officer

New major risk - Financial position

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation Announces New SRK-439 Preclinical Data Showing Significant Lean Mass Preservation and Attenuation of Fat Mass Rebound Following GLP-1 Receptor Agonist Withdrawal

Scholar Rock to Present New Data from SRK-181 Phase 1 DRAGON Trial at the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) Annual Meeting

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 27, 2024

New major risk - Shareholder dilution

New major risk - Financial position

President recently sold €170k worth of stock

Scholar Rock Announces Management Appointments

Scholar Rock Presents New Preclinical Data Demonstrating Potential Benefit of SRK-439 for Healthy Weight Loss Management

Scholar Rock Announces FDA Clearance of IND Application to Initiate Phase 2 Proof-of-Concept Trial with Apitegromab to Treat Obesity

Senior VP & Head of Research recently sold €268k worth of stock

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Scholar Rock, Inc. Presents New Data from Phase 1 Dragon Trial Showing Promising Anti-Tumor Activity in Anti-Pd-1 Resistant Metastaticcc Patients and Supporting Srk-181 Continued Tolerability

Scholar Rock Announces to Present Clinical and Biomarker Data from the Phase 1 Dragon Trial At the Sitc 38Th Annual Meeting

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $85.000006 million.

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $85.000006 million.

Scholar Rock Announces Completion of Enrollment for the Phase 3 SAPPHIRE Trial

Scholar Rock Announces New Data from the Phase 2 TOPAZ Trial Extension Period Evaluating Patient Outcomes At 36 Months of Treatment with Apitegromab

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 21, 2023

Full year 2022 earnings released: US$2.26 loss per share (vs US$3.59 loss in FY 2021)

Scholar Rock Appoints Tracey M. Sacco as Chief Commercial Officer

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: US$0.55 loss per share (vs US$1.02 loss in 3Q 2021)

Scholar Rock Holding Corporationa Announces Recent Phase 1 Dragon Data Show Srk-181 Continues to Be Well Tolerated with Early Indications of Efficacy

Scholar Rock Appoints Jing L. Marantz as Chief Medical Officer

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation Announces New Phase 2 TOPAZ Trial Data Indicate Positive Trends in Quality-of-Life Measures Over 24 Months with Apitegromab for Nonambulatory Patients with Types 2 and 3 SMA

Scholar Rock Announces Chief Executive Officer Changes

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: US$1.06 loss per share (vs US$0.84 loss in 2Q 2021)

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation Appoints Srinivas Akkaraju to Board of Directors

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation(NasdaqGS:SRRK) dropped from Russell 2000 Growth Index

Scholar Rock Announces New Data from the Phase 2 Topaz Trial Extension Period Evaluating Patient Outcomes After 24-Months of Treatment

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation Provides Pipeline Updates

First quarter 2022 earnings released: US$0.21 loss per share (vs US$0.76 loss in 1Q 2021)

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation Provides Corporate Update and Highlights Priorities for 2022

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation Announces Design of Phase 3 SAPPHIRE Clinical Trial Evaluating Apitegromab in Non-Ambulatory Patients with Type 2 and Type 3 Spinal Muscular Atrophy (SMA)

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: US$1.02 loss per share (vs US$0.79 loss in 3Q 2020)

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation Presents Additional Data Analyses from the Apitegromab TOPAZ Phase 2 Trial at the World Muscle Society 2021 Virtual Congress

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.84 loss per share (vs US$0.65 loss in 2Q 2020)

Scholar Rock to Present Apitegromab TOPAZ Phase 2 Trial Results Highlighting Pharmacokinetic (PK) and Pharmacodynamic (PD) Data at the 2021 European Academy of Neurology Congress

Forecast to breakeven in 2025

Scholar Rock Announces Oral Presentation of TOPAZ Phase 2 Trail Results at the 2021 Virtual SMA Research & Clinical Care Meeting

Scholar Rock to Present Apitegromab Clinical Data from the TOPAZ Phase 2 Trial in Patients with Type 2 and 3 Spinal Muscular Atrophy at the 2021 Virtual SMA Research & Clinical Care Meeting

Scholar Rock Receives Fast Track Designation from the U.S. FDA for Apitegromab for the Treatment of Patients with Spinal Muscular Atrophy

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation to Present Trials in Progress Poster for Srk-181 Dragon Phase 1 Clinical Trial At the American Society of Clinical Oncology Annual Meeting

Forecast to breakeven in 2025

First quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.76 loss per share (vs US$0.58 loss in 1Q 2020)

Scholar Rock Announces Publication of Phase 1 Clinical Trial Data Evaluating Apitegromab in Healthy Volunteers in the Journal Advances in Therapy

Scholar Rock Announces the Addition of Joshua Reed to Its Board of Directors

Full year 2020 earnings released: US$2.81 loss per share (vs US$1.85 loss in FY 2019)

Revenue misses expectations

New 90-day high: €50.00

Scholar Rock Announces Executive Promotions

New 90-day high: €47.40

New 90-day high: €43.80

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: US$0.79 loss per share

Revenue misses expectations

New 90-day high: €31.80

Earnings released

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation to Report Q2, 2020 Results on Aug 07, 2020

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation Announces Executive Changes, Effective August 1, 2020

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data Sources

Analysis Model and Snowflake