Medpace Holdings Valuation

Is 01P undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 01P when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 01P (€361) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€378.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 01P is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 01P?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

01P key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA31.4x
PEG Ratio2.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 01P's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 01P vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average51.9x
SRT3 Sartorius
125.5x28.0%€16.8b
1SXP SCHOTT Pharma KGaA
29.3x15.0%€4.6b
GXI Gerresheimer
27.5x20.4%€3.2b
CRL Charles River Laboratories International
25.4x13.6%US$11.4b
01P Medpace Holdings
38.6x13.8%€12.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 01P is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.6x) compared to the peer average (51.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 01P's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Life Sciences Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 01P is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.6x) compared to the European Life Sciences industry average (43.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 01P's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

01P PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.6x
Fair PE Ratio24.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 01P is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 01P forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€361.00
€394.48
+9.3%
14.8%€447.46€275.93n/a6
May ’25€362.20
€397.56
+9.8%
13.7%€448.51€276.58n/a7
Apr ’25€374.50
€358.38
-4.3%
18.6%€441.65€240.15n/a6
Mar ’25€371.00
€355.43
-4.2%
19.2%€420.61€242.34n/a5
Feb ’25€270.50
€260.52
-3.7%
8.9%€287.01€219.86n/a5
Jan ’25€280.50
€259.55
-7.5%
8.2%€278.75€220.60n/a5
Dec ’24€252.50
€263.61
+4.4%
7.6%€285.75€226.14n/a5
Nov ’24€237.50
€263.61
+11.0%
7.6%€285.75€226.14n/a5
Oct ’24€228.50
€233.46
+2.2%
6.4%€246.08€204.62n/a5
Sep ’24€253.00
€233.46
-7.7%
6.4%€246.08€204.62n/a5
Aug ’24€232.50
€233.46
+0.4%
6.4%€246.08€204.62n/a5
Jul ’24€220.00
€205.86
-6.4%
6.3%€230.35€196.53n/a5
Jun ’24€191.00
€204.28
+7.0%
7.0%€229.04€195.41n/a4
May ’24€181.40
€195.46
+7.8%
0.4%€196.67€194.85€362.203
Apr ’24€173.15
€206.12
+19.0%
7.3%€225.03€188.15€374.503
Mar ’24€184.05
€214.61
+16.6%
3.9%€222.72€203.07€371.003
Feb ’24€206.20
€208.61
+1.2%
3.8%€218.72€199.42€270.503
Jan ’24€201.70
€207.26
+2.8%
7.1%€225.93€189.86€280.503
Dec ’23€204.60
€209.95
+2.6%
7.1%€228.86€192.32€252.503
Nov ’23€224.50
€219.05
-2.4%
7.1%€238.79€200.66€237.503
Oct ’23€160.20
€145.36
-9.3%
2.0%€149.03€142.03€228.503
Sep ’23€147.05
€146.74
-0.2%
1.4%€148.73€144.74€253.002
Aug ’23€163.00
€145.21
-10.9%
1.4%€147.18€143.23€232.502
Jul ’23€143.25
€127.76
-10.8%
3.0%€131.60€123.92€220.002
Jun ’23€134.55
€132.64
-1.4%
7.9%€143.06€122.21€191.002
May ’23€126.20
€132.64
+5.1%
7.9%€143.06€122.21€181.402

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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