Krystal Biotech Valuation

Is 4KB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4KB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4KB (€169.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€472.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4KB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4KB?

Key metric: As 4KB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4KB. This is calculated by dividing 4KB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4KB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio104.6x
EarningsUS$52.37m
Market CapUS$5.48b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4KB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4KB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average49.1x
BIO3 Biotest
15.8x29.3%€1.4b
FYB Formycon
12.9x31.5%€827.2m
2INV 2invest
12.7xn/a€63.8m
TLX Telix Pharmaceuticals
154.9x38.3%AU$7.6b
4KB Krystal Biotech
104.6x41.2%€5.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4KB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (104.6x) compared to the peer average (48.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4KB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4KB 104.6xIndustry Avg. 27.0xNo. of Companies5PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4KB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (104.6x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (27x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4KB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4KB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio104.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4KB's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4KB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€190.18
0%
4.2%€202.28€178.48n/a9
Nov ’25n/a
€190.33
0%
4.0%€202.99€177.27n/a9
Oct ’25n/a
€187.95
0%
4.0%€200.45€175.05n/a9
Sep ’25€175.10
€185.89
+6.2%
3.4%€199.96€174.63n/a9
Aug ’25n/a
€174.67
0%
8.8%€191.21€140.65n/a9
Jul ’25n/a
€175.51
0%
8.5%€193.15€142.08n/a10
Jun ’25n/a
€175.51
0%
8.5%€193.15€142.08n/a10
May ’25n/a
€177.40
0%
9.2%€195.75€143.99n/a10
Apr ’25€156.00
€170.60
+9.4%
9.0%€190.88€140.41n/a10
Mar ’25€156.00
€168.60
+8.1%
9.2%€191.94€141.19n/a10
Feb ’25n/a
€141.26
0%
9.2%€165.11€119.25n/a10
Jan ’25n/a
€141.26
0%
9.2%€165.11€119.25n/a10
Dec ’24n/a
€139.06
0%
7.2%€153.52€118.79n/a11
Nov ’24n/a
€141.98
0%
7.4%€157.55€121.91n/a10
Oct ’24n/a
€139.13
0%
7.7%€156.61€121.19n/a8
Sep ’24€115.00
€135.72
+18.0%
8.2%€153.47€118.76€175.107
Aug ’24€114.00
€126.45
+10.9%
12.7%€147.22€92.01n/a7
Jul ’24n/a
€126.45
0%
12.7%€147.22€92.01n/a7
Jun ’24€109.00
€126.78
+16.3%
11.6%€144.63€93.31n/a8
May ’24n/a
€101.53
0%
10.2%€120.70€90.75n/a8
Apr ’24€74.50
€107.04
+43.7%
9.7%€124.74€93.79€156.008
Mar ’24€78.00
€107.04
+37.2%
9.7%€124.74€93.79€156.008
Feb ’24n/a
€98.70
0%
14.8%€122.40€72.70n/a8
Jan ’24n/a
€102.33
0%
14.3%€128.40€76.27n/a8
Dec ’23n/a
€102.33
0%
14.3%€128.40€76.27n/a8
Nov ’23n/a
€99.23
0%
15.2%€126.17€71.82n/a8

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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