Krystal Biotech Valuation

Is 4KB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4KB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4KB (€147.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€503.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4KB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4KB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4KB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue78.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-43x
PEG Ratio9.6x

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does 4KB's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for 4KB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.6x
BIO3 Biotest
2.3x-53.2%€1.4b
FYB Formycon
1.4x2.6%€723.2m
2INV 2invest
0.8xn/a€50.3m
IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics
6x61.7%US$3.3b
4KB Krystal Biotech
5.8x43.6%€4.6b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: 4KB is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (5.8x) compared to the peer average (2.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4KB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPB048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: 4KB is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (5.8x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (2.3x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4KB's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4KB PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio5.8x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4KB's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4KB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€147.60
€175.81
+19.1%
9.2%€194.00€142.70n/a10
Apr ’25€156.00
€170.60
+9.4%
9.0%€190.88€140.41n/a10
Mar ’25€156.00
€168.60
+8.1%
9.2%€191.94€141.19n/a10
Feb ’25n/a
€141.26
0%
9.2%€165.11€119.25n/a10
Jan ’25n/a
€141.26
0%
9.2%€165.11€119.25n/a10
Dec ’24n/a
€139.06
0%
7.2%€153.52€118.79n/a11
Nov ’24n/a
€141.98
0%
7.4%€157.55€121.91n/a10
Oct ’24n/a
€139.13
0%
7.7%€156.61€121.19n/a8
Sep ’24€115.00
€135.72
+18.0%
8.2%€153.47€118.76n/a7
Aug ’24€114.00
€126.45
+10.9%
12.7%€147.22€92.01n/a7
Jul ’24n/a
€126.45
0%
12.7%€147.22€92.01n/a7
Jun ’24€109.00
€126.78
+16.3%
11.6%€144.63€93.31n/a8
May ’24n/a
€101.53
0%
10.2%€120.70€90.75€147.608
Apr ’24€74.50
€107.04
+43.7%
9.7%€124.74€93.79€156.008
Mar ’24€78.00
€107.04
+37.2%
9.7%€124.74€93.79€156.008
Feb ’24n/a
€98.70
0%
14.8%€122.40€72.70n/a8
Jan ’24n/a
€102.33
0%
14.3%€128.40€76.27n/a8
Dec ’23n/a
€102.33
0%
14.3%€128.40€76.27n/a8
Nov ’23n/a
€99.23
0%
15.2%€126.17€71.82n/a8
Oct ’23n/a
€99.23
0%
15.2%€126.17€71.82n/a8
Sep ’23n/a
€99.23
0%
15.2%€126.17€71.82€115.008
Aug ’23n/a
€96.95
0%
15.8%€128.18€72.98€114.008
Jul ’23n/a
€96.95
0%
15.8%€128.18€72.98n/a8
Jun ’23n/a
€96.95
0%
15.8%€128.18€72.98€109.008
May ’23n/a
€100.59
0%
10.8%€124.71€84.66n/a8

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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