NetEase Valuation

Is 4Y01 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4Y01 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€31.21
Fair Value
39.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
24
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 4Y01 (€18.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€31.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4Y01 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4Y01?

Key metric: As 4Y01 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4Y01. This is calculated by dividing 4Y01's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4Y01's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.9x
EarningsCN¥27.51b
Market CapCN¥466.32b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4Y01's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4Y01 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.9x
7974 Nintendo
32.6x11.8%JP¥10.7t
EVD CTS Eventim KGaA
34.4x11.9%€8.7b
EA Electronic Arts
35.6x15.2%US$37.1b
G24 Scout24
37.1x15.1%€6.5b
4Y01 NetEase
16.9x8.9%€495.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4Y01 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the peer average (34.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4Y01's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Entertainment Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4Y01 16.9xIndustry Avg. 14.2xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4Y01 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the European Entertainment industry average (13.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4Y01's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4Y01 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.9x
Fair PE Ratio29.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4Y01 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4Y01 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€18.80
€22.32
+18.7%
12.5%€30.26€14.22n/a24
Jan ’26€16.90
€21.49
+27.1%
13.8%€30.01€14.10n/a23
Dec ’25€15.90
€21.21
+33.4%
13.9%€29.80€14.00n/a23
Nov ’25€14.50
€21.30
+46.9%
14.5%€29.25€13.86n/a22
Oct ’25€16.70
€21.19
+26.9%
13.8%€28.80€13.65n/a23
Sep ’25€14.50
€21.40
+47.6%
13.5%€28.77€13.63n/a22
Aug ’25€16.70
€23.97
+43.6%
11.3%€29.11€15.86n/a22
Jul ’25€17.60
€24.29
+38.0%
10.9%€29.31€15.97n/a23
Jun ’25€16.10
€24.09
+49.6%
10.5%€29.12€15.87n/a24
May ’25€17.50
€24.91
+42.4%
9.7%€29.67€15.76n/a24
Apr ’25€19.20
€24.94
+29.9%
9.6%€29.47€15.76n/a24
Mar ’25€20.20
€24.82
+22.9%
10.2%€29.35€15.15n/a23
Feb ’25€18.10
€24.97
+37.9%
10.8%€31.99€15.31n/a24
Jan ’25€15.90
€24.17
+52.0%
13.4%€31.38€15.02€16.9024
Dec ’24€20.20
€24.63
+21.9%
10.9%€31.51€15.20€15.9025
Nov ’24€20.00
€22.74
+13.7%
12.1%€28.49€13.21€14.5023
Oct ’24€19.00
€22.56
+18.7%
12.0%€28.35€13.14€16.7023
Sep ’24€19.00
€22.20
+16.9%
12.2%€27.77€12.60€14.5024
Aug ’24€19.70
€21.40
+8.6%
12.3%€27.95€12.72€16.7024
Jul ’24€17.60
€20.64
+17.3%
12.8%€27.88€12.69€17.6025
Jun ’24€15.50
€21.00
+35.5%
15.0%€28.91€10.49€16.1025
May ’24€15.80
€19.44
+23.0%
14.6%€25.05€10.42€17.5025
Apr ’24€16.30
€19.60
+20.2%
15.1%€25.67€10.68€19.2025
Mar ’24€15.42
€19.96
+29.5%
15.1%€26.14€10.88€20.2025
Feb ’24€16.63
€20.11
+20.9%
18.7%€27.02€11.26€18.1024
Jan ’24€13.63
€19.89
+46.0%
18.8%€26.80€11.17€15.9026
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 24 Analysts
€21.83
Fair Value
13.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
24
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/19 03:01
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

NetEase, Inc. is covered by 89 analysts. 34 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Sau Shing ChowABCI Securities Company Limited
Zixiao YangArete Research Services LLP
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research