RTL Group S.A.

XTRA:RRTL Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.5b

RTL Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

RTL Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 49.9% and 2.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 51.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10% in 3 years.

Key information

49.9%

Earnings growth rate

51.90%

EPS growth rate

Media earnings growth28.9%
Revenue growth rate2.8%
Future return on equity10.01%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated14 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Mar 21

RRTL: Stable Outlook Will Reflect Higher Dividend And Updated Profitability Assumptions

Analysts have raised their price target on RTL Group to €36.00 from about €35.14, citing updated assumptions related to slightly different discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels. What's in the News Completion of share buyback program, with 279,509 shares repurchased between 1 October 2025 and 31 December 2025 for €9 million, bringing the total under the April 30, 2025 buyback to 3,445,561 shares (2.23% of share capital) for €128.84 million (company announcement) Board proposes a dividend of €5.50 per share for 2025, compared with €2.50 per share for 2024, to be voted on at the Annual General Meeting on 29 April 2026.
Narrative Update • Mar 07

RRTL: Stable Outlook Will Reflect Slightly Revised Assumptions On Returns And Profitability

Analysts have adjusted their price target for RTL Group to €35.14, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Their overall view of the company’s fair value remains broadly unchanged.
Narrative Update • Feb 18

RRTL: Stable Outlook Will Reflect Refined Assumptions On Returns And Profitability

Analysts have kept their price target for RTL Group broadly unchanged at about €35.14. The target reflects slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, without a clear shift in overall valuation.
Narrative Update • Feb 03

RRTL: Leadership Transition And Refined Assumptions Will Shape A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for RTL Group to €35.14 per share, up from €34.43, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions on the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News RTL Group's Board of Directors has appointed Clément Schwebig to succeed Thomas Rabe as CEO, with the handover planned for May 2026, signaling a planned leadership transition at the top of the Group.
Narrative Update • Jan 19

RRTL: Leadership Transition And Slightly Higher Risk Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on RTL Group to €35 from €36. This reflects slightly adjusted views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins and future P/E expectations.
Analysis Article • Jan 19

RTL Group S.A.'s (ETR:RRTL) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

RTL Group S.A.'s ( ETR:RRTL ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.9x might make it look like a sell right now...
Narrative Update • Jan 05

RRTL: Leadership Handover And Stable Fundamentals Will Shape Balanced Risk Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on RTL Group to €35 from €36, reflecting modest adjustments to assumptions such as the discount rate, long-term revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research keeps a Hold stance on RTL Group while trimming the price target to €35, which signals a more measured view on both upside potential and execution risks.
Analysis Article • Dec 27

Is There An Opportunity With RTL Group S.A.'s (ETR:RRTL) 44% Undervaluation?

Key Insights The projected fair value for RTL Group is €60.63 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity RTL Group's...
Narrative Update • Dec 16

RRTL: Leadership Transition And Digital Execution Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for RTL Group, trimming fair value from about EUR 35.50 to roughly EUR 34.83 as they factor in softer revenue growth and margin expectations, partly offset by higher anticipated future valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary reflects a generally cautious but balanced stance on RTL Group, with modest adjustments to valuation rather than any wholesale change in fundamental views.
Analysis Article • Dec 09

RTL Group (ETR:RRTL) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
Narrative Update • Dec 02

RRTL: Future Management Changes And Share Buybacks Will Balance Opportunities And Risks

Analysts have reduced their price target for RTL Group from €37.15 to €35.50, citing softer revenue growth and declining profit margins as key factors in the revised valuation. Analyst Commentary Following the recent price target adjustments, analysts have provided a range of views on RTL Group’s outlook, focusing on valuation, revenue trends, and near-term execution risks.
Analysis Article • Nov 18

Is RTL Group S.A. (ETR:RRTL) Potentially Undervalued?

RTL Group S.A. ( ETR:RRTL ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...
Analysis Article • Sep 18

With RTL Group S.A. (ETR:RRTL) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.6x RTL Group S.A. ( ETR:RRTL ) may be sending bearish signals at the...
Analysis Article • Aug 31

These 4 Measures Indicate That RTL Group (ETR:RRTL) Is Using Debt Extensively

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article • Aug 06

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying RTL Group S.A. (ETR:RRTL)?

RTL Group S.A. ( ETR:RRTL ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over...
Analysis Article • Jul 15

A Look At The Fair Value Of RTL Group S.A. (ETR:RRTL)

Key Insights The projected fair value for RTL Group is €30.93 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With €34.45...
Analysis Article • Jun 18

Market Cool On RTL Group S.A.'s (ETR:RRTL) Earnings

When close to half the companies in Germany have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider RTL...
User avatar
New Narrative • Mar 23

Operational Efficiencies And Tech Savings Will Drive Profitability By 2026

RTL Group's strategic investments in streaming and technology platforms drive profitability through increased revenues, operational efficiencies, and reduced costs.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

XTRA:RRTL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20286,5024263701222
12/31/20276,3763513363216
12/31/20266,1223162312945
12/31/20256,01823335561N/A
9/30/20256,091133471669N/A
6/30/20256,163242607777N/A
3/31/20256,209288597769N/A
12/31/20246,254333587761N/A
9/30/20246,270367525697N/A
6/30/20246,286401463633N/A
3/31/20246,260377412585N/A
12/31/20236,234352360537N/A
6/30/20236,133324158355N/A
3/31/20236,361437210409N/A
12/31/20226,589549262463N/A
9/30/20227,062678438633N/A
6/30/20226,899683613802N/A
3/31/20226,768992675867N/A
12/31/20216,6371,301737932N/A
9/30/20216,5081,281687872N/A
6/30/20216,3791,261637811N/A
3/31/20216,198877696872N/A
12/31/20206,017492755933N/A
9/30/20206,074474797985N/A
6/30/20206,1304558391,037N/A
3/31/20206,3916058501,046N/A
12/31/20196,6517548611,055N/A
9/30/20196,949818N/A1,156N/A
6/30/20196,632743N/A1,001N/A
3/31/20196,676754N/A813N/A
12/31/20186,505668N/A873N/A
9/30/20186,491729N/A1,058N/A
6/30/20186,441737N/A1,035N/A
3/31/20186,384713N/A1,040N/A
12/31/20176,373739N/A1,023N/A
9/30/20176,357711N/A868N/A
6/30/20176,337699N/A917N/A
3/31/20176,210719N/A1,007N/A
12/31/20166,237720N/A1,106N/A
9/30/20166,118768N/A1,127N/A
6/30/20166,119779N/A1,091N/A
3/31/20166,153821N/A1,094N/A
12/31/20156,029789N/A983N/A
9/30/20156,003811N/A979N/A
6/30/20155,909801N/A828N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: RRTL's forecast earnings growth (49.9% per year) is above the savings rate (1.9%).

Earnings vs Market: RRTL's earnings (49.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the German market (17% per year).

High Growth Earnings: RRTL's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: RRTL's revenue (2.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the German market (7.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: RRTL's revenue (2.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: RRTL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10%).

Discover growth companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/18 10:10
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/15 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

RTL Group S.A. is covered by 25 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
JULIEN ROCHBarclays
Christophe CherblancBernstein
Annick MaasBernstein