Wacker Chemie Valuation

Is WCH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WCH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WCH (€69.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€195.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WCH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WCH?

Key metric: As WCH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WCH. This is calculated by dividing WCH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WCH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28x
Earnings€124.30m
Market Cap€3.48b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WCH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WCH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.7x
EVK Evonik Industries
35.4x33.1%€8.1b
SY1 Symrise
37.3x13.4%€14.6b
ACT AlzChem Group
11.7x12.6%€586.2m
UZU Uzin Utz
10.5x2.1%€251.2m
WCH Wacker Chemie
28x37.0%€3.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x) compared to the peer average (23.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WCH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WCH 28.0xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies13PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (17.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WCH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WCH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28x
Fair PE Ratio25.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WCH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€69.88
€114.40
+63.7%
12.5%€135.00€87.00n/a15
Nov ’25€78.34
€119.13
+52.1%
17.6%€178.00€87.00n/a16
Oct ’25€89.48
€124.47
+39.1%
14.6%€178.00€98.00n/a15
Sep ’25€86.22
€126.80
+47.1%
13.5%€178.00€100.00n/a15
Aug ’25€90.34
€127.87
+41.5%
14.2%€178.00€100.00n/a15
Jul ’25€101.35
€128.13
+26.4%
13.8%€178.00€103.00n/a15
Jun ’25€102.00
€127.00
+24.5%
14.3%€178.00€103.00n/a15
May ’25€100.55
€127.00
+26.3%
14.3%€178.00€103.00n/a15
Apr ’25€106.20
€122.73
+15.6%
15.2%€178.00€95.00n/a15
Mar ’25€104.95
€122.60
+16.8%
15.3%€178.00€100.00n/a15
Feb ’25€102.25
€122.60
+19.9%
15.3%€178.00€100.00n/a15
Jan ’25€114.00
€138.80
+21.8%
14.3%€178.00€108.00n/a15
Dec ’24€112.60
€144.67
+28.5%
13.4%€178.00€108.00n/a15
Nov ’24€110.70
€145.71
+31.6%
14.0%€178.00€111.00€78.3414
Oct ’24€136.75
€152.60
+11.6%
13.4%€187.00€111.00€89.4815
Sep ’24€136.55
€153.06
+12.1%
13.0%€187.00€111.00€86.2216
Aug ’24€139.70
€153.13
+9.6%
13.0%€187.00€114.00€90.3416
Jul ’24€125.30
€157.63
+25.8%
14.0%€193.00€114.00€101.3516
Jun ’24€122.00
€161.75
+32.6%
14.1%€202.00€114.00€102.0016
May ’24€139.20
€166.20
+19.4%
13.7%€202.00€114.00€100.5515
Apr ’24€148.40
€165.00
+11.2%
14.0%€202.00€114.00€106.2016
Mar ’24€149.65
€160.06
+7.0%
17.6%€202.00€104.00€104.9516
Feb ’24€144.80
€155.81
+7.6%
16.6%€185.00€104.00€102.2516
Jan ’24€120.20
€155.00
+29.0%
19.3%€210.00€104.00€114.0016
Dec ’23€123.55
€150.00
+21.4%
20.9%€210.00€104.00€112.6016
Nov ’23€119.85
€150.38
+25.5%
21.1%€210.00€104.00€110.7016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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