Thrace Plastics Holding Company S.A.

DB:TP3 Stock Report

Market Cap: €169.8m

Thrace Plastics Holding Valuation

Is TP3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TP3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TP3 (€3.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TP3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TP3?

Key metric: As TP3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TP3. This is calculated by dividing TP3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TP3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.9x
Earnings€14.26m
Market Cap€169.82m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TP3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TP3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.5x
SIM0 SIMONA
11.2xn/a€345.0m
FPE3 Fuchs
18.7x8.7%€4.9b
2HRA H&R GmbH KGaA
23.4x52.9%€129.2m
NTG Nabaltec
8.7x4.3%€123.2m
TP3 Thrace Plastics Holding
11.9x13.1%€169.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TP3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the peer average (15.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TP3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TP3 11.9xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TP3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TP3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TP3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.9x
Fair PE Ratio10.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TP3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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