Tokuyama Valuation

Is TBT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TBT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TBT (€18.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€21.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TBT is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TBT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TBT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.8x
PEG Ratio0.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TBT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TBT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.9x
ACT AlzChem Group
11.4x10.8%€445.7m
WCH Wacker Chemie
23.8x30.0%€5.1b
UZU Uzin Utz
11x6.7%€249.2m
2HRA H&R GmbH KGaA
17.3x23.9%€182.8m
TBT Tokuyama
12.8x23.1%€226.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TBT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TBT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TBT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (18.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TBT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TBT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.8x
Fair PE Ratio17.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TBT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TBT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€18.90
€18.08
-4.4%
5.0%€19.30€17.17n/a3
Apr ’25€15.90
€17.63
+10.9%
14.2%€20.15€14.21n/a3
Mar ’25€14.90
€16.35
+9.7%
11.5%€18.24€14.46n/a2
Feb ’25€14.00
€16.35
+16.8%
11.5%€18.24€14.46n/a2
Jan ’25€15.00
€16.77
+11.8%
11.5%€18.70€14.83n/a2
Dec ’24€14.40
€18.78
+30.4%
23.0%€24.50€14.09n/a3
Nov ’24€14.40
€20.23
+40.5%
26.5%€27.47€14.69n/a3
Oct ’24€14.60
€20.23
+38.5%
26.5%€27.47€14.69n/a3
Sep ’24€14.70
€20.23
+37.6%
26.5%€27.47€14.69n/a3
Aug ’24€15.40
€20.23
+31.4%
26.5%€27.47€14.69n/a3
Jul ’24€14.80
€19.59
+32.4%
27.5%€27.74€12.58n/a4
Jun ’24€14.10
€19.67
+39.5%
23.5%€26.11€13.06n/a4
May ’24€14.70
€17.43
+18.6%
28.9%€25.85€12.93€18.804
Apr ’24€14.90
€18.67
+25.3%
28.9%€27.68€13.84€15.904
Mar ’24€15.30
€18.38
+20.1%
28.9%€27.26€13.63€14.904
Feb ’24€13.70
€16.64
+21.5%
22.3%€21.90€11.66€14.004
Jan ’24€12.50
€18.39
+47.1%
25.6%€22.07€11.75€15.003
Dec ’23€13.20
€16.14
+22.3%
26.6%€21.50€11.44€14.405
Nov ’23€11.70
€16.74
+43.1%
25.2%€21.66€12.28€14.405
Oct ’23€12.00
€16.74
+39.5%
25.2%€21.66€12.28€14.605
Sep ’23€12.90
€16.74
+29.8%
25.2%€21.66€12.28€14.705
Aug ’23€13.10
€16.74
+27.8%
25.2%€21.66€12.28€15.405
Jul ’23€12.00
€16.36
+36.3%
24.8%€21.85€12.38€14.806
Jun ’23€12.40
€16.36
+31.9%
24.8%€21.85€12.38€14.106
May ’23€12.40
€15.66
+26.3%
28.4%€21.82€10.91€14.706

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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