Silvercorp Metals Valuation

Is S9Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of S9Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: S9Y (€3.15) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: S9Y is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for S9Y?

Key metric: As S9Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for S9Y. This is calculated by dividing S9Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is S9Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.4x
EarningsUS$55.68m
Market CapUS$744.21m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does S9Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for S9Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.6x
STO3 Sto SE KGaA
11.1x3.5%€730.0m
ACT AlzChem Group
11.9x12.6%€594.3m
EIS Eisen- und Hüttenwerke
18.5xn/a€202.4m
NDA Aurubis
8.9x-6.2%€3.3b
S9Y Silvercorp Metals
13.4x17.4%€1.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: S9Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the peer average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does S9Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
S9Y 13.4xIndustry Avg. 11.8xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: S9Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is S9Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

S9Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.4x
Fair PE Ratio18x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: S9Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst S9Y forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.15
€5.06
+60.6%
2.1%€5.15€4.91n/a3
Nov ’25€4.39
€4.95
+12.8%
1.7%€5.01€4.80n/a4
Oct ’25€3.99
€4.74
+18.7%
2.9%€4.97€4.64n/a4
Sep ’25€3.55
€4.72
+33.0%
1.9%€4.86€4.65n/a4
Aug ’25€3.19
€4.82
+51.2%
3.0%€5.01€4.69n/a3
Jul ’25€3.11
€4.84
+55.6%
9.6%€5.54€4.23n/a4
Jun ’25€3.72
€4.78
+28.4%
9.6%€5.47€4.18n/a4
May ’25€3.03
€4.85
+59.9%
9.6%€5.56€4.25n/a4
Apr ’25€3.00
€4.03
+34.4%
20.0%€5.48€3.23n/a5
Mar ’25€2.21
€4.03
+82.6%
19.8%€5.47€3.26n/a5
Feb ’25€2.17
€4.24
+95.3%
20.4%€5.52€3.08n/a4
Jan ’25€2.42
€4.19
+72.9%
21.8%€5.58€3.02n/a4
Dec ’24€2.66
€4.19
+57.6%
21.8%€5.58€3.02n/a4
Nov ’24€2.05
€4.25
+106.7%
20.0%€5.72€3.06€4.395
Oct ’24€2.30
€4.71
+104.6%
12.3%€5.57€3.74€3.995
Sep ’24€2.37
€4.71
+98.5%
12.3%€5.57€3.74€3.555
Aug ’24€2.80
€4.65
+66.3%
13.0%€5.47€3.59€3.195
Jul ’24€2.58
€4.76
+84.8%
8.2%€5.39€4.17€3.115
Jun ’24€2.80
€4.73
+68.8%
9.1%€5.47€4.16€3.725
May ’24€3.27
€4.28
+30.9%
5.9%€4.71€4.04€3.035
Apr ’24€3.60
€4.12
+14.6%
8.2%€4.56€3.72€3.005
Mar ’24€2.89
€4.11
+42.0%
9.2%€4.70€3.66€2.216
Feb ’24€3.15
€3.89
+23.4%
5.7%€4.19€3.58€2.176
Jan ’24€2.82
€3.66
+30.0%
13.2%€4.17€2.76€2.426
Dec ’23€2.68
€3.69
+37.6%
13.5%€4.26€2.87€2.666
Nov ’23€2.47
€3.83
+54.9%
14.4%€4.46€2.91€2.056

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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