The Navigator Company, S.A.

DB:PO9 Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.5b

Navigator Company Valuation

Is PO9 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PO9 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€6.58
Fair Value
46.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: PO9 (€3.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PO9 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PO9?

Key metric: As PO9 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PO9. This is calculated by dividing PO9's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PO9's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8x
Earnings€315.61m
Market Cap€2.51b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PO9's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PO9 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.9x
SDF K+S
93.9x44.5%€2.4b
NDA Aurubis
8x-3.1%€3.3b
WCH Wacker Chemie
26.5x37.0%€3.3b
FPE3 Fuchs
19.3x8.6%€5.0b
PO9 Navigator Company
8x-4.2%€2.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PO9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the peer average (36.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PO9's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PO9 8.0xIndustry Avg. 11.3xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PO9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (11.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PO9's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PO9 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8x
Fair PE Ratio13.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PO9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PO9 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.50
€4.78
+36.6%
4.0%€5.00€4.50n/a4
Jan ’26€3.55
€5.00
+40.9%
9.9%€5.80€4.50n/a4
Dec ’25€3.44
€5.00
+45.3%
9.9%€5.80€4.50n/a4
Nov ’25€3.52
€5.19
+47.5%
14.1%€6.30€4.50n/a5
Oct ’25€3.67
€5.19
+41.6%
13.6%€6.30€4.50n/a5
Sep ’25€3.65
€5.23
+43.2%
12.8%€6.30€4.50n/a5
Aug ’25€3.74
€5.23
+39.8%
12.8%€6.30€4.50n/a5
Jul ’25€3.91
€5.10
+30.4%
13.3%€6.30€4.50n/a5
Jun ’25€3.98
€4.86
+22.2%
16.2%€6.30€3.90n/a5
May ’25€4.19
€4.84
+15.5%
16.4%€6.30€3.90n/a5
Apr ’25€4.04
€4.21
+4.3%
14.6%€4.80€3.15n/a5
Mar ’25€3.73
€4.21
+12.7%
14.6%€4.80€3.15n/a5
Feb ’25€3.77
€4.17
+10.6%
14.4%€4.80€3.15€3.505
Jan ’25€3.54
€3.97
+12.2%
13.1%€4.70€3.15€3.555
Dec ’24€3.75
€3.97
+5.9%
13.1%€4.70€3.15€3.445
Nov ’24€3.76
€3.97
+5.6%
13.1%€4.70€3.15€3.525
Oct ’24€3.38
€4.09
+20.9%
14.1%€4.70€3.30€3.675
Sep ’24€3.36
€4.09
+21.9%
14.1%€4.70€3.30€3.655
Aug ’24€3.20
€4.15
+29.5%
12.1%€4.70€3.55€3.745
Jul ’24€3.08
€4.05
+31.5%
14.4%€4.70€3.25€3.915
Jun ’24€3.08
€4.01
+30.4%
15.4%€4.70€3.25€3.985
May ’24€3.31
€4.07
+22.8%
13.5%€4.70€3.40€4.195
Apr ’24€3.29
€4.11
+25.0%
13.4%€4.70€3.40€4.045
Mar ’24€3.30
€4.11
+24.5%
13.4%€4.70€3.40€3.735
Feb ’24€3.19
€4.14
+29.6%
13.5%€4.70€3.40€3.775
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
€4.73
Fair Value
26.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/02 09:05
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Navigator Company, S.A. is covered by 15 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Bruno BessaBanco BPI, S.A.
Luís ColaçoBanco Santander
Luis de Toledo HerasBBVA Corporate and Investment Bank