The Navigator Company, S.A.

DB:PO9 Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.6b

Navigator Company Valuation

Is PO9 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PO9 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PO9 (€3.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€7.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PO9 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PO9?

Key metric: As PO9 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PO9. This is calculated by dividing PO9's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PO9's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.4x
Earnings€315.61m
Market Cap€2.64b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PO9's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PO9 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.2x
SDF K+S
79.4x61.3%€2.0b
NDA Aurubis
9.3x-6.2%€3.5b
WCH Wacker Chemie
29.1x37.0%€3.6b
FPE3 Fuchs
19x8.9%€5.0b
PO9 Navigator Company
8.4x2.5%€2.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PO9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the peer average (34.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PO9's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PO9 8.4xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PO9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (12.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PO9's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PO9 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.4x
Fair PE Ratio11.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PO9 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PO9 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.68
€5.04
+37.0%
9.5%€5.80€4.50n/a4
Nov ’25€3.52
€5.19
+47.5%
14.1%€6.30€4.50n/a5
Oct ’25€3.67
€5.19
+41.6%
13.6%€6.30€4.50n/a5
Sep ’25€3.65
€5.23
+43.2%
12.8%€6.30€4.50n/a5
Aug ’25€3.74
€5.23
+39.8%
12.8%€6.30€4.50n/a5
Jul ’25€3.91
€5.10
+30.4%
13.3%€6.30€4.50n/a5
Jun ’25€3.98
€4.86
+22.2%
16.2%€6.30€3.90n/a5
May ’25€4.19
€4.84
+15.5%
16.4%€6.30€3.90n/a5
Apr ’25€4.04
€4.21
+4.3%
14.6%€4.80€3.15n/a5
Mar ’25€3.73
€4.21
+12.7%
14.6%€4.80€3.15n/a5
Feb ’25€3.77
€4.17
+10.6%
14.4%€4.80€3.15n/a5
Jan ’25€3.54
€3.97
+12.2%
13.1%€4.70€3.15n/a5
Dec ’24€3.75
€3.97
+5.9%
13.1%€4.70€3.15n/a5
Nov ’24€3.76
€3.97
+5.6%
13.1%€4.70€3.15€3.525
Oct ’24€3.38
€4.09
+20.9%
14.1%€4.70€3.30€3.675
Sep ’24€3.36
€4.09
+21.9%
14.1%€4.70€3.30€3.655
Aug ’24€3.20
€4.15
+29.5%
12.1%€4.70€3.55€3.745
Jul ’24€3.08
€4.05
+31.5%
14.4%€4.70€3.25€3.915
Jun ’24€3.08
€4.01
+30.4%
15.4%€4.70€3.25€3.985
May ’24€3.31
€4.07
+22.8%
13.5%€4.70€3.40€4.195
Apr ’24€3.29
€4.11
+25.0%
13.4%€4.70€3.40€4.045
Mar ’24€3.30
€4.11
+24.5%
13.4%€4.70€3.40€3.735
Feb ’24€3.19
€4.14
+29.6%
13.5%€4.70€3.40€3.775
Jan ’24€3.44
€4.38
+27.4%
9.9%€4.70€3.55€3.545
Dec ’23€3.86
€4.38
+13.4%
9.9%€4.70€3.55€3.755
Nov ’23€3.86
€4.54
+17.7%
13.2%€5.40€3.55€3.765

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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