Pactiv Evergreen Valuation

Is PEG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PEG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PEG (€10.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€18.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PEG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PEG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PEG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.5x
PEG Ratio0.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PEG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PEG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.6x
NDA Aurubis
9.5x-6.2%€3.3b
WCH Wacker Chemie
31.6x37.8%€4.0b
STO3 Sto SE KGaA
11.7x7.8%€771.1m
SZG Salzgitter
49.6x65.8%€749.1m
PEG Pactiv Evergreen
27.6x44.0%€2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PEG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.6x) compared to the peer average (22.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PEG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PEG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.6x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PEG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PEG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.6x
Fair PE Ratio28.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PEG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PEG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.30
€12.95
+25.7%
10.1%€14.80€11.10n/a6
Oct ’25€10.30
€12.37
+20.1%
8.2%€13.74€10.99n/a7
Sep ’25€10.30
€12.37
+20.1%
8.2%€13.74€10.99n/a7
Aug ’25€10.00
€13.97
+39.7%
9.5%€16.68€12.51n/a7
Jul ’25€10.40
€15.19
+46.1%
10.4%€17.64€12.54n/a7
Jun ’25€11.10
€15.19
+36.8%
10.4%€17.64€12.54n/a7
May ’25€14.30
€15.82
+10.7%
9.7%€17.84€13.14n/a7
Apr ’25€13.10
€15.13
+15.5%
10.7%€17.50€12.90n/a7
Mar ’25€12.20
€14.90
+22.1%
14.2%€17.53€11.07n/a7
Feb ’25€13.40
€14.42
+7.6%
18.2%€17.44€10.10n/a7
Jan ’25€12.40
€10.92
-11.9%
11.8%€12.74€9.10n/a5
Dec ’24€10.40
€10.56
+1.5%
8.8%€11.83€9.10n/a5
Nov ’24€8.00
€9.28
+16.0%
10.0%€10.41€7.57€10.305
Oct ’24€7.55
€9.55
+26.4%
7.3%€10.29€8.42€10.305
Sep ’24€7.50
€9.32
+24.2%
7.3%€10.05€8.22€10.305
Aug ’24€7.75
€8.65
+11.6%
10.1%€10.02€7.28€10.006
Jul ’24€6.85
€9.16
+33.7%
10.2%€10.15€7.38€10.407
Jun ’24€6.50
€9.16
+40.9%
10.2%€10.15€7.38€11.107
May ’24€7.10
€9.71
+36.8%
16.0%€12.77€7.30€14.307
Apr ’24€7.15
€11.31
+58.2%
11.9%€13.27€9.48€13.107
Mar ’24€10.10
€11.96
+18.4%
11.6%€14.72€10.12€12.207
Feb ’24€10.40
€11.96
+15.0%
11.6%€14.72€10.12€13.407
Jan ’24€10.60
€12.79
+20.7%
11.2%€15.45€10.62€12.408
Dec ’23€11.00
€12.79
+16.3%
11.2%€15.45€10.62€10.408
Nov ’23€10.90
€12.10
+11.0%
17.6%€16.22€9.13€8.008

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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