Oeneo Valuation

Is O64 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of O64 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: O64 (€9.66) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€9.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: O64 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for O64?

Key metric: As O64 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for O64. This is calculated by dividing O64's market cap by their current earnings.
What is O64's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.1x
Earnings€28.85m
Market Cap€637.85m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does O64's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for O64 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.2x
ACT AlzChem Group
12.2x12.6%€586.2m
STO3 Sto SE KGaA
11x7.8%€723.6m
SIM0 SIMONA
11.4xn/a€342.0m
UZU Uzin Utz
10.2x2.1%€243.1m
O64 Oeneo
22.1x9.1%€637.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: O64 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the peer average (11.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does O64's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
O64 22.1xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: O64 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is O64's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

O64 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.1x
Fair PE Ratio12.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: O64 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst O64 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.62
€12.27
+27.5%
2.7%€12.50€11.80n/a3
Nov ’25€9.62
€12.47
+29.6%
1.6%€12.70€12.20n/a3
Oct ’25€9.76
€12.47
+27.7%
1.6%€12.70€12.20n/a3
Sep ’25€10.35
€12.47
+20.5%
1.6%€12.70€12.20n/a3
Aug ’25€10.20
€12.47
+22.2%
1.6%€12.70€12.20n/a3
Jul ’25€10.50
€12.47
+18.7%
1.6%€12.70€12.20n/a3
Jun ’25€11.65
€12.40
+6.4%
0.8%€12.50€12.30n/a2
May ’25€9.96
€12.45
+25.0%
0.4%€12.50€12.40n/a2
Apr ’25€9.24
€12.87
+39.2%
4.6%€13.70€12.40n/a3
Mar ’25€10.70
€12.87
+20.2%
4.6%€13.70€12.40n/a3
Feb ’25€11.60
€12.87
+10.9%
4.6%€13.70€12.40n/a3
Jan ’25€12.60
€13.53
+7.4%
3.4%€14.00€12.90n/a3
Dec ’24€13.20
€13.57
+2.8%
3.1%€14.00€13.00n/a3
Nov ’24€12.80
€14.33
+12.0%
5.8%€15.50€13.70€9.623
Oct ’24€13.85
€14.33
+3.5%
5.8%€15.50€13.70€9.763
Sep ’24€13.75
€14.43
+5.0%
5.3%€15.50€13.80€10.353
Aug ’24€13.50
€14.43
+6.9%
5.3%€15.50€13.80€10.203
Jul ’24€13.95
€15.07
+8.0%
2.2%€15.50€14.70€10.503
Jun ’24€14.00
€15.07
+7.6%
2.2%€15.50€14.70€11.653
May ’24€14.25
€15.10
+6.0%
2.6%€15.50€14.70€9.962
Apr ’24€13.70
€15.10
+10.2%
2.6%€15.50€14.70€9.242
Mar ’24€14.85
€15.10
+1.7%
2.6%€15.50€14.70€10.702
Feb ’24€14.15
€15.10
+6.7%
2.6%€15.50€14.70€11.602
Jan ’24€14.10
€15.10
+7.1%
2.6%€15.50€14.70€12.602
Dec ’23€13.65
€15.10
+10.6%
2.6%€15.50€14.70€13.202

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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