Trilogy Metals Valuation

Is NK5A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NK5A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate NK5A's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate NK5A's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NK5A?

Key metric: As NK5A is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for NK5A. This is calculated by dividing NK5A's market cap by their current book value.
What is NK5A's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio1.5x
BookUS$133.82m
Market CapUS$200.83m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does NK5A's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for NK5A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.8x
M0LY Greenland Resources
44.3xn/a€65.8m
EIS Eisen- und Hüttenwerke
2.1xn/a€202.4m
W2C IberAmerican Lithium
27.7xn/a€2.0m
UZU Uzin Utz
1x2.1%€251.2m
NK5A Trilogy Metals
1.5xn/a€281.7m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: NK5A is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.5x) compared to the peer average (18.8x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does NK5A's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

22 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NK5A 1.5xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies28PB00.61.21.82.43+
22 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: NK5A is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.5x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NK5A's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NK5A PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio1.5x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NK5A's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NK5A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.16
€1.04
-10.5%
38.2%€1.54€0.52n/a5
Nov ’25€0.54
€0.72
+33.3%
45.9%€1.38€0.50n/a5
Oct ’25€0.42
€0.72
+72.5%
45.5%€1.37€0.50n/a5
Sep ’25€0.44
€0.72
+63.2%
45.5%€1.37€0.50n/a5
Aug ’25€0.60
€0.72
+21.6%
45.5%€1.37€0.50n/a5
Jul ’25€0.45
€0.74
+63.1%
45.7%€1.40€0.51n/a5
Jun ’25€0.45
€0.74
+63.8%
45.7%€1.40€0.51n/a5
May ’25€0.36
€0.74
+101.5%
45.7%€1.40€0.51n/a5
Apr ’25€0.46
€0.98
+111.4%
37.1%€1.39€0.52n/a5
Mar ’25€0.39
€0.98
+155.0%
36.8%€1.39€0.52n/a5
Feb ’25€0.50
€0.98
+95.7%
36.7%€1.38€0.51n/a5
Jan ’25€0.38
€0.95
+153.1%
32.2%€1.37€0.67n/a6
Dec ’24€0.37
€0.95
+158.6%
32.2%€1.37€0.67n/a6
Nov ’24€0.41
€1.02
+147.3%
29.3%€1.41€0.69€0.547
Oct ’24€0.45
€1.06
+133.6%
29.7%€1.42€0.70€0.427
Sep ’24€0.44
€1.00
+127.1%
29.7%€1.35€0.65€0.447
Aug ’24€0.47
€1.00
+110.8%
29.7%€1.35€0.65€0.607
Jul ’24€0.54
€1.02
+91.1%
29.6%€1.38€0.67€0.457
Jun ’24€0.45
€1.04
+129.7%
29.6%€1.40€0.69€0.457
May ’24€0.50
€1.08
+114.8%
31.4%€1.53€0.68€0.367
Apr ’24€0.46
€1.11
+139.5%
31.2%€1.57€0.70€0.467
Mar ’24€0.53
€1.11
+109.1%
31.2%€1.57€0.70€0.397
Feb ’24€0.56
€1.42
+152.8%
52.7%€2.73€0.68€0.507
Jan ’24€0.50
€1.51
+205.1%
48.4%€2.83€0.69€0.387
Dec ’23€0.58
€1.56
+169.7%
46.8%€2.88€0.80€0.377
Nov ’23€0.55
€1.65
+199.2%
46.6%€3.04€0.85€0.417

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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