Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited

DB:N3Y Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.8b

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Valuation

Is N3Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of N3Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€0.42
Fair Value
10.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: N3Y (€0.37) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: N3Y is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for N3Y?

Key metric: As N3Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for N3Y. This is calculated by dividing N3Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is N3Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.7x
EarningsCN¥750.68m
Market CapCN¥13.26b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does N3Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for N3Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.8x
SDF K+S
75.9x57.3%€1.9b
WCH Wacker Chemie
25.3x35.4%€3.2b
NDA Aurubis
7.4x-5.3%€3.1b
STO3 Sto SE KGaA
10.7x3.5%€709.4m
N3Y Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings)
17.7x38.5%€14.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: N3Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the peer average (30.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does N3Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
N3Y 17.7xIndustry Avg. 10.5xNo. of Companies9PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: N3Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (10.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is N3Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

N3Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.7x
Fair PE Ratio33.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: N3Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst N3Y forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.37
€0.52
+41.3%
13.5%€0.62€0.44n/a10
Jan ’26€0.39
€0.51
+31.1%
12.8%€0.61€0.44n/a10
Dec ’25€0.36
€0.52
+42.8%
11.4%€0.61€0.43n/a10
Nov ’25€0.38
€0.52
+35.8%
11.4%€0.61€0.43n/a11
Oct ’25€0.46
€0.49
+7.5%
11.8%€0.59€0.41n/a12
Sep ’25€0.34
€0.51
+50.1%
15.7%€0.65€0.41n/a10
Aug ’25€0.34
€0.52
+53.4%
14.1%€0.66€0.42n/a11
Jul ’25€0.37
€0.52
+40.0%
14.1%€0.66€0.42n/a11
Jun ’25€0.47
€0.55
+16.3%
17.4%€0.74€0.42n/a11
May ’25€0.40
€0.51
+28.0%
14.3%€0.64€0.42n/a13
Apr ’25€0.37
€0.51
+39.4%
13.6%€0.64€0.42n/a13
Mar ’25€0.40
€0.51
+29.3%
14.1%€0.65€0.41n/a13
Feb ’25€0.34
€0.50
+46.5%
12.1%€0.60€0.41n/a12
Jan ’25€0.40
€0.53
+31.9%
16.8%€0.75€0.42€0.3911
Dec ’24€0.49
€0.53
+8.7%
16.8%€0.75€0.42€0.3611
Nov ’24€0.52
€0.54
+4.0%
16.7%€0.76€0.42€0.3811
Oct ’24€0.51
€0.55
+8.2%
15.2%€0.76€0.47€0.4611
Sep ’24€0.49
€0.66
+35.7%
21.1%€0.94€0.47€0.3412
Aug ’24€0.56
€0.70
+25.6%
26.8%€1.09€0.46€0.3412
Jul ’24€0.59
€0.75
+26.7%
22.5%€1.11€0.51€0.3712
Jun ’24€0.51
€0.79
+54.8%
25.1%€1.16€0.52€0.4713
May ’24€0.60
€0.79
+31.0%
24.4%€1.16€0.52€0.4013
Apr ’24€0.67
€0.83
+23.6%
23.6%€1.20€0.54€0.3713
Mar ’24€0.75
€0.83
+10.4%
23.6%€1.20€0.54€0.4013
Feb ’24€0.80
€0.83
+4.0%
25.6%€1.35€0.52€0.3412
Jan ’24€0.82
€0.81
-0.7%
31.0%€1.44€0.54€0.4011
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
€0.51
Fair Value
27.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/09 20:35
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/09 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited is covered by 34 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kathryn DingBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Xiao XingBOCI Research Ltd.
Yanlin ZhaoBofA Global Research