Michelmersh Brick Holdings plc

DB:MPO Stock Report

Market Cap: €104.9m

Michelmersh Brick Holdings Valuation

Is MPO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MPO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MPO (€1.18) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MPO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MPO?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MPO key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.7x
PEG Ratio12.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MPO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MPO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.4x
STO3 Sto SE KGaA
11.8x10.7%€1.0b
NTG Nabaltec
12.2x2.4%€143.4m
2HRA H&R GmbH KGaA
13.8x16.7%€178.7m
EIS Eisen- und Hüttenwerke
15.8xn/a€172.5m
MPO Michelmersh Brick Holdings
9.2x0.8%€88.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MPO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the peer average (13.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MPO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Basic Materials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MPO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the European Basic Materials industry average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MPO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MPO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.2x
Fair PE Ratio9.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MPO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MPO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.18
€1.81
+53.5%
18.1%€2.10€1.35n/a3
Jun ’25€1.16
€1.81
+56.1%
18.1%€2.10€1.35n/a3
May ’25€1.12
€1.81
+61.6%
18.1%€2.10€1.35n/a3
Apr ’25€1.18
€1.81
+53.4%
18.1%€2.10€1.35n/a3
Mar ’25€1.01
€1.78
+76.4%
18.4%€2.07€1.32n/a3
Feb ’25€1.18
€1.78
+51.0%
18.4%€2.07€1.32n/a3
Jan ’25€1.06
€1.78
+68.0%
18.4%€2.07€1.32n/a3
Dec ’24€0.94
€1.78
+89.5%
18.4%€2.07€1.32n/a3
Nov ’24€0.92
€1.89
+107.0%
11.9%€2.11€1.58n/a3
Oct ’24€1.01
€1.89
+87.5%
11.9%€2.11€1.58n/a3
Sep ’24€1.01
€1.88
+86.6%
11.9%€2.10€1.57n/a3
Aug ’24€1.06
€1.88
+77.8%
11.9%€2.10€1.57n/a3
Jul ’24€1.09
€1.88
+72.1%
11.9%€2.09€1.57n/a3
Jun ’24€1.05
€2.02
+92.0%
2.9%€2.07€1.96€1.162
May ’24€1.04
€1.99
+91.1%
2.9%€2.04€1.93€1.122
Apr ’24€1.04
€1.99
+91.1%
2.9%€2.04€1.93€1.182
Mar ’24€1.07
€1.98
+85.0%
5.9%€2.10€1.86€1.012
Feb ’24€1.00
€1.98
+97.9%
5.9%€2.10€1.86€1.182
Jan ’24€1.06
€1.98
+86.7%
5.9%€2.10€1.86€1.062
Dec ’23€1.10
€1.98
+79.9%
5.9%€2.10€1.86€0.942
Nov ’23€0.93
€1.87
+102.4%
0.6%€1.88€1.86€0.922
Oct ’23€0.92
€1.87
+104.6%
0.6%€1.88€1.86€1.012
Sep ’23€1.04
€1.90
+83.1%
0.6%€1.92€1.89€1.012
Aug ’23€1.03
€1.90
+84.9%
0.6%€1.92€1.89€1.062
Jul ’23€1.02
€1.88
+84.7%
0.6%€1.90€1.87€1.092
Jun ’23€1.26
€1.89
+50.2%
0.6%€1.90€1.88€1.052

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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